Deleted tweet detection is currently running at reduced
capacity due to changes to the Twitter API. Some tweets that have been
deleted by the tweet author may not be labeled as deleted in the PolitiTweet
interface.
Showing page 388 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yep this is right. If you have a bunch of candidates polling at 14% then it's very very likely that the polls will… https://t.co/Ggj5nJMy1w — PolitiTweet.org
Andrew Prokop @awprokop
Possible to imagine it but Bernie's support would likely have to be significantly higher. Numbers would have to lin… https://t.co/JU2IcFfNBM
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
No huge shifts, but Sanders down a tiny bit and Biden/Bloomberg/no majority up a tiny bit on that poll. The model t… https://t.co/JOBwRKJRnP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@R_Thaler You have to get at least 15% to get delegates but most delegates are awarded at the district level. So a… https://t.co/v0j4TXdH5O — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Finally a Nevada poll. Curious what our model will do with this one. At first glance, looks a slightly closer race… https://t.co/zLRj0FWR8t — PolitiTweet.org
Political Polls @Politics_Polls
#Navada @AARP/@reviewjournal Poll (2/11-13): Sanders 25 Biden 18% Warren 13% Steyer 11% Buttigieg 10% Klobuchar 10%
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@yeselson Yeah... and voters are gonna start seeing the unscrubbed version soon. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Nate_Cohn Also there is no correlation between whether a poll's results are hyped up as being interesting by the p… https://t.co/tgsgWvN66Q — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Bloomberg's presence in the race has not just been damaging to Biden. It's also damaging to Buttigieg, Klobuchar an… https://t.co/CmgUTAJN23 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro Like, a post-IA but pre-NH poll could be of some limited use. But anything with pre-Iowa data just isn't ve… https://t.co/fB4QxvdpQv — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jbarro It may as well have been conducted in December. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
You can see why Florida is a good state for both Bloomberg and Biden (old people). At the same time, this round of… https://t.co/XZnULhtdix — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Here, from Florida, is the other fully post-NH state poll we have and it's ¯\_(ツ)_/¯ https://t.co/PJzaxS7SF0 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @DKThomp: - Who’s the Democratic primary favorite? - No one. - I know it’s close, but who’s ahead? - No one’s ahead. - So it hasn't star… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This poll was conducted yesterday (i.e. post-NH) which makes it a rather encouraging poll for Biden. https://t.co/ND4Y0vOR64 — PolitiTweet.org
Niles Francis @NilesGApol
NEW @wsbtv/ Landmark Communications poll of the Democratic presidential primary in Georgia Biden: 32.1% Sanders: 1… https://t.co/UIE8VAq7tT
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Welp. https://t.co/JDz2dZ8bqR https://t.co/XyuXK02Edh — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Aggressive method: Sanders 23, Bloomberg 17, Biden 14, Buttigieg 12, Warren 11, Klobuchar 5 Conservative method: S… https://t.co/4A2gEY8cPl — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
To go behind the curtain a bit, our polling averages are a blend of an aggressive method (a polynomial trendline) a… https://t.co/ykVmxgLPiP — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
538 national polling average, with comparison to our final polling average before Iowa on Feb. 3. Sanders 22.7 (+0… https://t.co/RyBR1mzyrF
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Note that there's only one post-NH poll in the mix here. So there could be further changes, especially for Klobucha… https://t.co/P90F5kJNZR — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
538 national polling average, with comparison to our final polling average before Iowa on Feb. 3. Sanders 22.7 (+0… https://t.co/RyBR1mzyrF — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If true that's a good break for Sanders. https://t.co/21jYPzNU4W — PolitiTweet.org
Marc Caputo @MarcACaputo
Sources tell us @Culinary226 isn't endorsing https://t.co/BxHMNKesE9
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
LOL it kind of figures that this poll is hopelessly deadlocked. https://t.co/KQhs3oDMOg — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DKThomp I think over time, the 2nd choice data has shown much clearer evidence of ideological "lanes". I think peo… https://t.co/HuZOdGRHZ2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm If they really want to hurt Sanders's momentum (and I've been surprised at how stridently anti-Sanders the… https://t.co/SBm8pAh1A1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@PpollingNumbers @FiveThirtyEight These are not odds of winning the nomination -- they're odds of a pledged delegat… https://t.co/OyiqQoTByo — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
So, who do we think it's gonna be, politics Twitter? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
They presumably won't endorse Sanders, or Warren, given their vocally coming out against M4A in recent days. https://t.co/sRbsshi0Ly — PolitiTweet.org
The Culinary Union @Culinary226
📣BREAKING: Culinary Union to host a press conference regarding a 2020 endorsement ahead of the #NVCaucus. WHERE: C… https://t.co/jv52yiNAHx
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Meanwhile, "no majority" chances holding steady at 36%, only slightly behind Bernie (39%). — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
And our first model run with any post-NH polling data reflects this also. Bernie and Buttigieg up slightly. Bloombe… https://t.co/DBOjHlaP3K — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Our polling average is starting to get more aggressive about Biden's decline. Bloomberg and Buttigieg rising. Sande… https://t.co/b8Ot4eEAyL — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Re-upping this take. Cable news and the political media in general love talking about Bloomberg—a candidate who did… https://t.co/C9RbbBc6vm — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Hot take incoming: I think Bloomberg's recent bounce is more about earned media & less about paid media than many p… https://t.co/byANx…
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Here is our calculation of *time-weighted endorsements*, where more recent endorsements are weighted more heavily. This is more predictive than the unweighted version: https://t.co/gOZT46mEd9 Biden 39% Bloomberg 33% Warren 10% Buttigieg 8% Klobuchar 4% Sanders 4% Steyer 1% — PolitiTweet.org
