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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our Nevada polling average after adding a couple of polls today that showed very... different results from one another. Sanders 25.6 Biden 15.3 Buttigieg 11.4 Warren 11.4 Steyer 10.5 Klobuchar 8.3 https://t.co/OxkVqoiYRV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, it's true that Bloomberg and Biden are only barely above 15% in many states. On the other hand, Buttigieg and… https://t.co/WaAJcM2OtO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Super Tuesday states where we currently have candidates projected to get at least 15% of the vote: Sanders: All Su… https://t.co/fIcFJWO6hG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The post-NH polls, though a weird/eclectic bunch, don't seem to show many bounces from NH. Bernie hasn't risen much… https://t.co/QHPZJGxMwL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Now, if you've done the research and you have some empirical reason to expect the trend to *continue*, maybe you ta… https://t.co/4z0WEnOgIP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Biden probably does have an easier path and perhaps a much easier path. People overrate the importance of *trends*… https://t.co/Y9G44kzerp — PolitiTweet.org

Jim Geraghty @jimgeraghty

It’s easier to picture Biden finishing second in Nevada, then first in SC, then doing well on Super Tuesday than, s… https://t.co/CNLjGGXKIZ

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I still think a rejuvenated version of Biden would be Bernie's toughest matchup. A lot of working-class support and… https://t.co/00M01Lgmoh — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Weigel @daveweigel

This piece aptly gets to a big “moderate lane” problem — Biden May have enough support left to pile up delegates, a… https://t.co/49GggtcBkn

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Can't tell which of these takes I like better: 1) The polling in Nevada is screwy, so one should default toward on… https://t.co/IIsGj4rdYs — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @baseballot: I did something similar a loooong time ago: Preseason World Series odds predicted attendance better than actual wins. https… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I need to find the old study I did that found that merely singing free agents was associated with higher ticket rev… https://t.co/Lv7u7f2ALN — PolitiTweet.org

Jared Diamond @jareddiamond

Red Sox ownership said that ticket sales at Fenway Park are pacing 15% behind last season.

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SeanTrende Most likely that ends up with a very Bernie-Biden-Bloomberg Super Tuesday, no, with Bloomberg facing so… https://t.co/hxi8VTPZcc — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg wants people to talk about high-chatter-low-substance topics that are either Very Online or are which are… https://t.co/ucegwgK9RC — PolitiTweet.org

Liam Donovan @LPDonovan

How hopelessly online do you have to be to think that taking swipes at Bernie Bros is a vote mover? https://t.co/jbnm8PaJF1

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, it turns out that having the best basketball players in the world putting high effort against one another at… https://t.co/hFyd3KX3UG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Herring_NBA His effort level is like 50% higher than anyone else's. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@JADubin5 Dudes used to foul out. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethPartnow You should try blogging about politics. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 17, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be fair we don't really know what "normal" is in this case since Bloomberg's strategy is new/novel. But the medi… https://t.co/hF3RsX1ywu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The ordinary course of events after Iowa and NH *would* involve big problems for Biden. But the candidates who woul… https://t.co/PZ9z5vAD1a — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's a little hard to know the cause and effect here. Clearly Biden would have been in much much better shape with… https://t.co/cPf3xxcygD — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Martin @jmartNYT

@SenatorReid Still time yet, but this is why Iowa, especially, was so key for Biden. If he can get out of there wi… https://t.co/h5tYTrmIRX

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ABCPolitics: .@NateSilver538: “I buy that a contested convention is very, very possible. Is it more likely than not? Not yet, but just… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @bruce_arthur: "And that's how Tacko Fall came to file a workplace injury lawsuit" — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If people are gonna use the scale like this then you probably have to give each judge exactly one 11 that they can once each round. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

All these dunks getting perfect 50s is emblematic of the problem with ratings systems (e.g. Yelp, Amazon etc.) wher… https://t.co/QNXIPuEP7O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattdpearce: journalism proposal: we need a second Isaac Chotiner to interrogate people about why they granted interviews to Chotiner P… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 16, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Clinton raised and spent a lot more money than Trump (though less of her own money, I suppose) so it's a little bizarre to state this as a rationale for Bloomberg. https://t.co/TQw3U7pfNE https://t.co/sQNYc79vYv — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Given no other information if you see someone wearing an Astros hat (in a state that isn't Texas or near Texas) sho… https://t.co/X6zEmbCwTa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ZachMontellaro: New: We have qualification rules for the SC debate. They're basically the same as the NV debate; Candidates need to win… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie Super Tuesday states ranked from his best to worst winning chances: VT 92% CA 64% UT 62% CO 57% ME 52% TX 48% MA 46% VA 44% TN 44% NC 43% OK 38% AR 37% MN 34% AL 33% AS* 31% * American Samoa https://t.co/ufzEhLUuka — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

...and also talking about BLOOMBERG WANTS HILLARY FOR VEEP is a way for him to change the subject when the Washington Post has a long story about Bloomberg's alleged history of sexist comments. This part of the Bloomberg strategy is quite Trumpian. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, but any day that the media spends talking about Bloomberg instead of Buttigieg or Klobuchar, or even Biden's… https://t.co/z1j61A9Wki — PolitiTweet.org

Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs

Considering all the seemingly adept moves that Bloomberg's campaign team has made so far, including some clever ads… https://t.co/xS5bn6qVGv

Posted Feb. 15, 2020 Hibernated