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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg's projected vote share by Super Tuesday state: MN 8% VT 9% CA 13% MA 13% CO 15% UT 15% ME 16% TX 17% TN… https://t.co/tvVbQTtJlS — PolitiTweet.org

Taniel @Taniel

If Bloomberg were to slip just enough to be in the 12-14.9% range in a bunch of states ⁠— say if a Biden win in SC… https://t.co/ZeJ2ImEh9I

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For further context, the last forecast we ran *before* Nevada had majority chances as No Majority 41, Sanders 40, B… https://t.co/QLpRx6dQ9L — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile in our overall forecast, Sanders has lost some of the gains he made after Nevada. Immediately *after* Ne… https://t.co/G2mjupCFwp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In probability terms, this translates into Biden having a 74% chance to win SC, Bernie 23%, others (mostly Steyer)… https://t.co/1v4VhMnhGP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's our SC polling average with two new polls added this AM: Biden 31.2 Sanders 21.4 Steyer 14.8 Warren 8.2 But… https://t.co/SN7qpHJzTd

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's our SC polling average with two new polls added this AM: Biden 31.2 Sanders 21.4 Steyer 14.8 Warren 8.2 But… https://t.co/SN7qpHJzTd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I want the sharpest cheddar possible, and I've never been clear on whether Seriously Sharp is sharper than Extra Sharp. — PolitiTweet.org

andrew kaczynski🤔 @KFILE

Bernie Sanders eats Extra Sharp cheese, what does this mean for 2020? (from 2009) https://t.co/cddO414ugB

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Immediately after NH, South Carolina polls had started to look like a toss-up between Biden and Sanders. But with t… https://t.co/MJB99luDIO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: What truly drives Bernie Sanders's support? Ideology? Age? Income? Education? https://t.co/Z1WOgp3zI3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @AsteadWesley: Which takes him squarely from the Bloomberg is a Super Tuesday favorite range to Bloomberg as a Biden spoiler that gifts… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Biden wins SC, the race remains more open, but Biden will have a fairly clear claim to being the best alternativ… https://t.co/ntrh4NzhtJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's not even clear what he wants to happen in SC. If Bernie wins, Bernie may open up a *very* formidable lead by S… https://t.co/D5ADbjvsRh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Nor is there any obvious way to turn it around before Super Tuesday. He isn't competing in SC. His performance in t… https://t.co/tY6XaCAgVj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bloomberg is in quite a lot of trouble. His national polls have stalled out or begun to reverse themselves. He's fa… https://t.co/sKiaujiDE0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, this Texas poll shows Bloomberg drawing 75% of his support from other moderate-lane candidates. https://t.co/DTHzaBA43G — PolitiTweet.org

Ryan Matsumoto @ryanmatsumoto1

Latest Texas poll from @ppppolls has Biden and Bernie tied at 24, but if Bloomberg were not on the ballot, Biden wo… https://t.co/gMloANuzuK

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's no particular reason to be confident that Bloomberg would actually prefer Sanders to Trump. Especially in t… https://t.co/bPonLNHOby — PolitiTweet.org

Lawrence O'Donnell @Lawrence

Bloomberg can’t legally contribute millions to Bernie so of course Bernie can say he won’t “accept” it. Bloomberg c… https://t.co/AjBR91zXX6

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@gabrielsnyder I agree but if you assume that Bloomberg doesn't *really* want to see Sanders elected, but also want… https://t.co/2QH26QcQ3x — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And, nope, I don't think it's safe to assume that Bloomberg would offer the help anyway. He might. He might not. I'… https://t.co/9Wk2Bs6Let — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know if it would be in the best interest of Sanders to accept Bloomberg's $$$ or not. But if I were running… https://t.co/QKEwj5a0pm — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Seitz-Wald @aseitzwald

And Howard Wolfson says Bloomberg wild not spend on behalf of someone who doesn’t want the help: “Bernie said he d… https://t.co/0j2hcJelxs

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a weird lack of polls in Colorado. #excitingtweets — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I don't know if they also asked voters who they liked *least*. But this seems perfectly fine for Sanders, although… https://t.co/tyZfmXw4cj — PolitiTweet.org

Kabir Khanna @kabir_here

Some reactions from Democratic debate watchers across the country -- here's the percentage impressed by each candid… https://t.co/Y11rq2E5aS

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: “My perfectionism is my biggest weakness." 🙃 https://t.co/xvviAvaFw3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact that you have such wide spreads means these markets aren't very liquid or robust. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There is an awfully big spread between Sanders's nomination chances at BetFair (43%, down 10% today which seems kin… https://t.co/P5XT9xnkDo — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Feel like there should be a New York Times dialect quiz but for Democratic candidates, where if you say "hot dish"… https://t.co/m5J5EgkpJm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Everyone on here saying "WHY IS BIDEN GOING AFTER STEYER?" has clearly spent absolutely zero time looking at the South Carolina polling. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've been randomly assigned to focus on Mayor Pete tonight and I'm not sure it's a super high-leverage debate for h… https://t.co/mgIHkzfQ2w — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That's true for most of the non-Bernie candidates, by the way, with Biden being the closest thing to an exception. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is some fairly realistic expectations-setting as these things go, but what's left unsaid is that this makes it… https://t.co/9witStueWZ — PolitiTweet.org

Henry J. Gomez @HenryJGomez

In donor memo, Buttigieg campaign manager Mike Schmuhl sets less-than-winning expectations even if they can raise $… https://t.co/y8lNgILyKt

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With 35% of pledged delegates set to be chosen within the next 7 days, this *really is* the most important debate.… https://t.co/9pS0kIPy65 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Taniel: VERY plausible. Morning after CA's 2016 primary, Clinton had won by 13%. As late ballots rolled in & were counted (disproporti… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 25, 2020 Retweet Hibernated