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Showing page 378 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@MattGrossmann @justingrimmer @mattyglesias That's the most generous interpretation and it still only rises the pap… https://t.co/KA0f3UCsZZ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@justingrimmer @mattyglesias There are many other critiques I have of the experiment, including the lack of context… https://t.co/lXvduEciwE — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@justingrimmer @mattyglesias The experiment finds that people are *underconfident*, not overconfident, when they se… https://t.co/PP50QaVTtm — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Sanders is averaging about 27% in recent polls of non-Southern states and about 20% in recent polls of Sourhern sta… https://t.co/xSKbCvifBZ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@mattyglesias Not only that, but none of the evidence in the paper supports their claims. It shouldn't have been published. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@asymmetricinfo It has one of the most liberal Democratic electorates so that is quite predictable. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@DataProgress I want a Democrats Abroad poll — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I am obviously not an expert re: coronavirus but it does seem like political observers are underestimating the pote… https://t.co/8PZiSw3E3O — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I spent a lot of time looking at cases like these in designing our polling average algorithm and in general, when y… https://t.co/mDZx8lmlbX — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The problem for Bernie (and Steyer) is that the trendlines in South Carolina are strong for Biden. His leads are bi… https://t.co/R0LbVcrcPl — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Potentially a big factor here is that Bloomberg got huge amount of media coverage amidst Buttigieg's strong showing… https://t.co/Pg3yDnzByj — PolitiTweet.org
Tyler Pager @tylerpager
NEW: Pete Buttigieg executed his strategy nearly perfectly. He won Iowa + finished a close second in NH. But, natio… https://t.co/FWmnFnWmns
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@gelliottmorris @liamkerr @ForecasterEnten @ChangePolls They were quite a bit too high on Bernie in both IA and NH. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Steyer calls coronavirus a "neon sign for Trump's incompetence" and says it's his "Katrina event". Surprised we did… https://t.co/o9DJCCqLsA — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
He also comes across, at least rhetorically, as a bit more of a populist than you'd think, though with plenty of te… https://t.co/jLi97pcsx1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Notably sparse applause when he brings up his support for reparations before the older, mostly (maybe 75-80%) white audience. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
At a Steyer event at a chicken restaurant in Dorchester County, SC and he comes across as... not an A+ politician b… https://t.co/Jl3f6s29ig — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Pretty reassuring poll for Sanders after a day of not-so-good state numbers. https://t.co/BExRWV74Y4 — PolitiTweet.org
Kelly Phares @kellyfphares
NEW: Fox News poll shows @BernieSanders overtaking @JoeBiden with an 8 pt jump since Jan. @MikeBloomberg in 3rd up… https://t.co/p3V4stNCx8
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @DKarol: @NateSilver538 And candidates can drop out in the weeks between the last primary and convention, freeing delegates even on the… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Too much focus on the *superdelegates* and too little on the people who are *regular* (pledged) delegates. They're… https://t.co/wZzRc5GCwD — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @galendruke: The Democratic candidates have been campaigning in South Carolina all week and I talked to some voters who had a message fo… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
OK—Biden 37%, Bloomberg 30%, Sanders 28% AR—Biden 31%, Sanders 30%, Bloomberg 29%, Buttigieg 8% UT—Sanders 86%, War… https://t.co/dx9UAbIsdW — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
VA—Sanders 44%, Biden 38%, Bloomberg 16% MA—Sanders 53%, Warren 28%, Biden 11%, Buttigieg 5% MN—Klobuchar 53%, Sand… https://t.co/t1tmUSAn22 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
UPDATED Super Tuesday win probabilities, where you can see the impact of Biden's good polling in SC & other Souther… https://t.co/Q4Xbfd2iTk — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Super Tuesday win probabilities (NOT vote share!). Note: These may change significantly based on SC and other stu… https://t.co/jNMmS12eD0
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ForecasterEnten Strong house effect is putting it mildly. Our model has this as Biden +12 with their house effect accounted for. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ClareMalone: I've been thinking about the sudden rise—and stall—of Mike Bloomberg. A look at how he appeals and repels and what that te… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @PoliticsWolf: Making sure everyone who wants to can vote & have their ballot counted is more important than having immediate results on… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ClareMalone: It occurs to me that this is a good time (pre-South Carolina) to re-up my big-sweep story from this fall about Biden's rel… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Sanders is still at 60% for a plurality, down from a peak of about 70% after Nevada but still not bad. The Sanders… https://t.co/KszSslcTqv — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
"No majority" chances up to 50% (!) after some very good for Biden / bad for Sanders polls in South Carolina and Fl… https://t.co/JxqNa4bI7I — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If I were Sanders right now, I'd be a little nervous that—like a lot of candidates, e.g. Obama in 2008 after winnin… https://t.co/jnqbPOfshM — PolitiTweet.org
