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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

ThE PaRtY DeCiDeS https://t.co/ivP32UQfVf — PolitiTweet.org

Julie Pace @jpaceDC

WASHINGTON (AP) — Joe Biden wins Democratic presidential primary in Minnesota.

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Turnout in Virginia up from ~800K in 2016 to ~1.3M this year. It doesn't seem great for Sanders's electability narr… https://t.co/j30IJjq8Nf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, Colorado is basically a pre-election poll that was conducted while Buttigieg and Klobuchar were still in the… https://t.co/0GSQMJtjj8 — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Grossmann @MattGrossmann

Exits have Texas: Biden 34 Sanders 34 Bloomberg 13 Warren 10 Minnesota: Biden 37 Sanders 30 Warren 17 Bloomberg 7… https://t.co/GbKDnfpVa4

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Seems like Texas is a tossup LOL. https://t.co/v01aF6rQWm https://t.co/xLOogQIBkJ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah this seems important and right https://t.co/PlbzMhgGFv — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

I'd buy this if everywhere voted today, and it may still happen nonetheless, but the early vote is a real problem t… https://t.co/Ml8LKZ2Vg4

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Only 7% in but Vermont is closer than Virginia so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Exits in Virginia seem to have Biden beating our projections there (which were already pretty optimistic) by ~6 poi… https://t.co/BQDfsSdSZl — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 4, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: It's 5:38 p.m. Eastern -- a good time to visit our Super Tuesday live blog! https://t.co/muzTKnhWtv — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Based on preliminary exit polls, looks like about twice as many late-deciders as in 2016. https://t.co/4L7V8yFgI7 — PolitiTweet.org

Laura Bronner @laurabronner

It's Super Tuesday!!! I've had a lot of coffee!! Come join us on our liveblog for exit! poll! charts!! and much mor… https://t.co/cG624bHEOO

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our Super Tuesday Liveblog Is LIVE, FOLKS!!!! https://t.co/9JgNBfdbdm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ABC: Five scenarios for how #SuperTuesday could go, via @NateSilver538: https://t.co/QFfA57hUlS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Over the past 24 hours, Google searches for Biden are running ~even with searches for Sanders. That is unusual: ove… https://t.co/64hGQFhk3n — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which is not to say the point was totally lost on people. But what a well-designed model can say is: even in a be… https://t.co/R8Z58HGNZg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems salient that polls/polling-based models were more skeptical on Buttigieg/Klobuchar than the conventional w… https://t.co/NzlMxMo6w2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Pick your fighter https://t.co/uay6fbhSBR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How would our forecast change based on 5 Super Tuesday scenarios? 1. Biden surges even more 2. Bernie overperforms… https://t.co/pRF8DSHUgm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Texas : Super Tuesday :: Wisconsin : General Election https://t.co/2AoB7bn4kl — PolitiTweet.org

Micah Cohen @micahcohen

Play around with our pick-your-own-Super-Tuesday-winners forecast for a little and it becomes clear how important T… https://t.co/uYkmZ13KOh

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That would produce a nice delegate haul but no longer the sort of runaway numbers that people seem to be assuming. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As a technical point a lot of the analyses I'm seeing are lagging what the data actually says in California. Sander… https://t.co/T4gPvxkBLM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To be sure, Sanders does well among working-class voters too. But a lot of the arguments that were valid about Butt… https://t.co/VCu4kmZKy1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Ehhh, national polls were extremely valuable this year. They correctly recognized that Biden and Sanders had the mo… https://t.co/kBcuLrD4BT — PolitiTweet.org

Clara Jeffery @ClaraJeffery

We've had four years of "national polls don't really amount to anything" stories accompanied by more breathless tal… https://t.co/heJSMoro03

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/4JApGxCCKx https://t.co/3i7vjBgbqR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Based on most indicators, Biden is the most popular candidate among working-class Democratic voters. https://t.co/LNHWtLVNXK — PolitiTweet.org

Matt Stoller @matthewstoller

Every single thing said here is biting and true. If Joe Biden beats Trump, the parties will flip and the Republican… https://t.co/YMGrp3Ob7Z

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is another poll, though, that shows Bloomberg's numbers holding up OK and Warren likely to get to 15% in at le… https://t.co/Ly8S9dvGEe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If Biden is actually +8 nationally, my guess is that he'd do slightly better than our forecasts, although probably… https://t.co/ZUZsJv3nnh — PolitiTweet.org

Frank Luntz @FrankLuntz

Joe Biden has now reclaimed the nationwide Democratic primary lead: • @JoeBiden: 36% • @BernieSanders: 28% •… https://t.co/KKbTLWNxpD

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here, with @baseballot, is more on where the race—and our forecast—stands. https://t.co/bwMbC2pqiT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

VT: Sanders >99% American Samoa: Biden 36%, Sanders 36%, Bloomberg 20%, Warren 8%. (Note: the model may have no ide… https://t.co/3z5qJ7HCh9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

CO: Sanders 69%, Biden 20%, Bloomberg 6%, Warren 5% TN: Biden 68%, Sanders 25%, Bloomberg 5% AL: Biden 92%, Sanders… https://t.co/ABE04Em80M — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Final Super Tuesday win probabilities. (Only listing folks >=5%) CA: Sanders 76%, Biden 22% TX: Biden 55%, Sanders… https://t.co/1tBY3gHNP8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/JDz2dZ8bqR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2020 Hibernated