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Showing page 368 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The polling swing toward Biden is probably the fastest in the history of the primaries. We have him gaining 36.2 p… https://t.co/ZQSB6pXHrd — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
That's quite a bit larger than the lead Obama had vs. Clinton in 2008, which was generally in the mid-high single d… https://t.co/qEodJVkZAB — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Anyway, our model has finally seen enough data and thrown the towel in on being conservative now gives Biden an 18-… https://t.co/wgPY9uCmC5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
If that holds, Sanders would then have to win *65%* of remaining delegates to earn a majority, which is roughly equ… https://t.co/Ng67UiMQLd — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Just to emphasize how quickly Bernie needs to turn this around. If our projections thru 3/17 (next Tuesday) are rig… https://t.co/KKDbzIw3s4 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@baseballot March 17 is FOIA Tuesday (Florida, Ohio, Illinois, Arizona). This was decided months ago. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Triple M Tuesday or (Michigan, Missouri, Mississippi) https://t.co/zpflTOtSie — PolitiTweet.org
Steven Shepard @POLITICO_Steve
Do tomorrow's primaries have a catch-all nickname? Last week's was "Super Tuesday." April 28 (second-biggest delega… https://t.co/OLaaQqT02k
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
OLIVE GARDEN-VANILLA 2020 https://t.co/ZOFx9J9BmF — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Often Olive Garden or vanilla ice cream wins... even if it is unbelievable to some folks on this platform.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Literally: all the moderates dropped out and endorsed the other moderate within 4 days, and the moderate shot way u… https://t.co/5Y1jTm5vxu — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The "there are no lanes in the primary" argument didn't hold up well. https://t.co/qF80rWp10y — PolitiTweet.org
Bill Scher @billscher
New @QuinnipiacPoll with Biden over Sanders 54-35 Moderate/Conservative Biden 65 Sanders 23 Very Liberal Sanders… https://t.co/asvZTq0SNI
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The philosophy here (which also turns out to be a good approach empirically) is that there is no national primary p… https://t.co/77EEe26q0H — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
For what it's worth, our national polling average is designed to be somewhat conservative, while our state polling… https://t.co/LGtIpc5uII — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Quinnipiac has Biden +19 nationally which makes sense given some of the state polls we're seeing. https://t.co/8wTcbVv8a4 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
YouGov with a more modest Biden +12 in Michigan, although it looks like a rather small sample size. So we've got a… https://t.co/OtooYxTIsQ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Media innumeracy + Coronavirus is not a good mix. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @FiveThirtyEight: On average, James said he did about 10 hours of work a week. On some days he wouldn’t do any work at all. He got pa… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
There's also still an outside chance (which our model *does* consider) of a no-majority scenario. But there's no p… https://t.co/cLDqvh6x3J — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Given the age of Biden and Sanders, I think it's reasonable for prediction markets to consider the small but nonzer… https://t.co/J03oQ9TR4j — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Posted for "amusement", not as an endorsement: the prediction market PredictIt now says that Hillary Clinton, not B… https://t.co/5WnFAzt0ll — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Biden's lead in our polling average (+25) is actually a bit larger than Clinton's in 2016 (+21). So this would be a… https://t.co/jH5IP2VlQA — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Quite a spread in Michigan polls but they all point to Biden well ahead: Monmouth: Biden +15 Mitchell Research & C… https://t.co/bhJZL9bnKr — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Tonyhkchow @538politics Tony you should have specified that "the city" means New York! — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I think the problem is that there's a little bit of a game of chicken in that you don't want to be the candidate wh… https://t.co/wMrwKn94xR — PolitiTweet.org
Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux @ameliatd
OK, it is crazy to me that universities are telling students not to come back from spring break but Sanders/Biden a… https://t.co/hPH8i9u4XP
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Arizona and Illinois had seemed like the better states out of that bunch for Sanders (Florida is clearly going to b… https://t.co/30sKIwF5tE — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Our mean projection has Biden gaining 53 delegates (note: very wide confidence interval) on Sanders in tomorrow's p… https://t.co/eQg28kD5X7 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @juliaoftoronto: Covid-19 hit during cold/flu season. Wondering if you might have the virus? This chart on #covid19 v. cold v. flu i… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
"They should trigger the circuit breakers!" is a joke I'll use the next time a candidate plummets in the polls, whi… https://t.co/4RbiBtjtVO — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The press treated Biden *fairly* skeptically all along; he didn't inspire the (over)confidence that establishment-… https://t.co/DEQaqw9Dyq — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
One dynamic that makes it harder for Sanders to portray Biden as choice shoved down people's throats by the establi… https://t.co/oEUfWn3ilL — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @NickRiccardi: @NateSilver538 What shocked a lot of people about 2016 is ... the in party lost after two terms in power. Which is the wa… — PolitiTweet.org
