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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

An extremely preliminary estimate of the delegate count from last night: Biden 215, Sanders 145, others 5. This is… https://t.co/vwvqt9Xlyk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Mississippi now says it has all precincts reporting (though that can mean different things in different states) and… https://t.co/RGbS7l5yjd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In particular, this looks at whether a candidate's supporters were older or younger and when voters say they decide… https://t.co/CLIHkJSt2O — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Here's a semi-educated guess of what the *remaining* Washington returns will look like, based on evaluating late vs… https://t.co/CshGEiXWFt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In 2016 and now in '20, Sanders clearly benefits from caucuses or caucus-like primaries. His supporters are dedicat… https://t.co/fjDHHtfdGm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What's the difference? ND had a party-run primary/caucus, hybrid, with only a handful of locations open across the… https://t.co/xJBVbBKtqG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Only 14K votes in North Dakota, or about 15% of the people who voted for Hillary Clinton there in 2016. By contras… https://t.co/b8ld7aGOoz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @rickklein: Sanders wins North Dakota, @abc reports. His first win from last night. No projection yet in WA. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the end, the Michigan polling average is going to have been pretty decent, although a few individual polls will have been fairly far off. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SaraMZiegler You can register your feelings in the poll Sara — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Which Dakota is better — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: A different way to look at it. If no delegates had been awarded, Sanders would need to gain about 20 points to fight to a ti… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Nate_Cohn: I see lots of people talking about the delegate math. And yeah, it's constraining. But the problem for Sanders is the voters… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Idaho is not the sort of state Sanders should be losing in any kind of remotely competitive primary. https://t.co/IifM36N45R — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

Joe Biden wins the Idaho primary, according to the AP https://t.co/ymtqFqmt7R

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not trying to piss people off but it's a little rich that some prominent voices who spent months saying how awf… https://t.co/ONxMQLDHcg — PolitiTweet.org

Nathan J Robinson @NathanJRobinson

The numbers in MI make it clear that Warren endorsing and campaigning for Bernie might well have made a huge differ… https://t.co/kbkJSSHsrG

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One of the challenges for Sanders is that there's not really a state to hang his hat on in the next 2 weeks. FL and… https://t.co/XpaUDJXHWY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Exit polls had Biden winning WA late deciders by a huge margin so yeah this is probably bad for Sanders. Although,… https://t.co/fmcm5oObTa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn

So we've basically got the whole ultra-early vote in Washington this point, and Sanders is up by two-tenths of a po… https://t.co/fwET8mF9NT

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Bernie now just barely *under* 15% in all of the Mississippi vote counts. Could get shut out of statewide delegates. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: As wild as the past month’s worth of Democratic Primary has been, Biden led national polls consistently except for a brie… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: Based on partial results in 10 of Michigan’s 14 congressional districts, Biden would get 55 delegates and Sanders woul… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@henryolsenEPPC I wouldn't alter my priors at all based on the exit poll in Michigan. I'd just ignore it. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The shift in the rural Midwest from Bernie in 2016 to Biden in 2020 — or if you prefer, from anti-Clinton in 2016 t… https://t.co/nNwKm5MdKg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Decision Desk way ahead of other sources on Michigan. These numbers look pretty good for Biden relative to Clinton'… https://t.co/FNmO3vNvce — PolitiTweet.org

Kyle Kondik @kkondik

Gang at @DecisionDeskHQ has about 50k votes reported in Michigan so far - Biden up 53-44. Votes from Oakland/Macomb/Kent/Saginaw.

Posted March 11, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @rickklein: based on analysis of exit polls, @ABC projects Joe Biden will win the Mississippi Democratic primary. No projection in Misso… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 11, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our Triple M Tuesday Liveblog is Live: https://t.co/UXuTIvXyGF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, the only pre-election poll I can find in Michigan that broke out the early vote showed a bigger edge for Bide… https://t.co/KyDFYeBkpg — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Apparently the exit polls from Michigan tonight only include in-person voters, not absentee voters. With absentee v… https://t.co/jF0Q1BhhtG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

* No exit polls in ND or ID, which means networks will wait longer to call. * ND is a party-run primary; those are… https://t.co/njnes2RMxS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It could be kind of a slow night tonight FWIW. * MI has a much more liberal early/absentee ballot law this year an… https://t.co/th1K83Nng5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @sidney_b: Happy Mini Tuesday. With Warren out of the race who will her supporters back, today? @ameliatd and I take a look @FiveThirtyE… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 10, 2020 Retweet Hibernated