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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In other words, usually Twitter overreacts to everything, but human beings instinctually underreact to exponential… https://t.co/YkGd8DtXYq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's also something about how this platform's tendency toward... let's call them *aggressive* reactions to the n… https://t.co/JlRd3PpZRf — PolitiTweet.org

Betsey Stevenson @BetseyStevenson

I’m starting to think that the US is divided into those on Twitter who can see what is happening in other countries… https://t.co/I8iRAtbXvB

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @NatSecMulligan: The President could be using the Defense Production Act to prioritize domestic production of personal protective equipm… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well, in 2 weeks, the statistics on coronavirus are going to be a lot worse even if the interventions are working,… https://t.co/6vyiQai6oD — PolitiTweet.org

Daniel W. Drezner @dandrezner

I wonder if some authorities are using “two weeks” the same way Matt Damon’s 30 Rock character talked about how air… https://t.co/LGcj1QdR1O

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I do think businesses should be thinking about how to minimize crowding and queuing along with other interventions for a possibly long period of not-closed-but-not-normal-either. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Presumably, things will start to open back up in roughly the inverse order in which they're shut down (so, like, re… https://t.co/g7MeWOOpFp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, as I've done more reading, I think this is something people need to be realistic about. Although even 2 weeks… https://t.co/AjjyVkVaTA — PolitiTweet.org

David A. Hopkins @DaveAHopkins

Much of the response so far—in terms of postponements/cancellations and the promotion of voluntary social distancin… https://t.co/io43IRKtCX

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In general, I don't think it's super helpful for people to tweet out statistics on cases/deaths without providing c… https://t.co/VA4XVpBzSz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This has two obvious implications: 1) When cases are on the upswing, as they obviously are in the US right now, th… https://t.co/g8b6U5miEh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've said it before, but people should be mindful that coronavirus statistics are lagging indicators. In Wuhan, a t… https://t.co/28ezsT3seQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro I'm a little slap-happy but I literally LOLed. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've written and deleted a version of this tweet like 12 times, but I think overall people should direct more of their ire at governmental officials and less at random dumb individuals. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We've updated the model with the Georgia and Louisiana date changes: https://t.co/JDz2dZ8bqR https://t.co/Assu2oRocr — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia postponing its primary from March 24 to May 19. Puerto Rico also considering postponing, so the calendar ma… https://t.co/wUB1gLcmI9

Posted March 15, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It seems safe to imagine there being a *lot* of pressure on Sanders to drop out if Biden does well on Tuesday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia postponing its primary from March 24 to May 19. Puerto Rico also considering postponing, so the calendar ma… https://t.co/wUB1gLcmI9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With that said I *do* think it's good the UK recognizes there are limits to how much social distancing people are g… https://t.co/5UVAv77tDE — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The most important of those UK assumptions being regarding it as inevitable that a large fraction (40%+) of the pop… https://t.co/U4hs7aq5z0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As you can probably tell my whole coronavirus take is basically "there's more uncertainty in all directions than pe… https://t.co/NybLOZMVbX — PolitiTweet.org

Professor Ian Donald @iandonald_psych

1. The govt strategy on #Coronavirus is more refined than those used in other countries and potentially very effect… https://t.co/G0TLYmUXPz

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen The questions IMO mostly revolve around whether we're talking about *weeks* or *months*. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 14, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm Sorry for the dumb question but why can't they, like, keep 1/4 of the schools open for families/students f… https://t.co/mTu3nKjgkM — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I noted this article earlier, and how it said those projections were conditional on behavior not changing. That's e… https://t.co/k3DvF8pSHl — PolitiTweet.org

zeynep tufekci @zeynep

The New York Times has managed to get their hands on the still-not-public CDC projections. One model estimates 160… https://t.co/IBQZJOAwoG

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@TheStalwart The upside is that all the other people at the poker table would probably have really poor risk-management skills. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you're wondering why my tone implies that the primary is basically resolved, here are our polling averages for t… https://t.co/ueVPhYOP9M — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

On Louisiana, its proposed 6/20 date falls outside the window the DNC allowed for primary contests, which creates v… https://t.co/Eovdr6nYyF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Meanwhile, Wyoming is cancelling the in-person part of its caucus. It's really not a caucus anymore so much as a pa… https://t.co/VRGKhZBh33 — PolitiTweet.org

Kevin Robillard @Robillard

The Wyoming Democrats are suspending the in-person portion of their caucus, scheduled for April 4, and switching to… https://t.co/EzufRFjubT

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

These states should also consider expanding their voting hours to reduce the number of people in line at any one ti… https://t.co/OPFoTjHHcG — PolitiTweet.org

Carrie Levine @levinecarrie

NEW joint statement from election officials in AZ, FL, IL, OH, which are scheduled to hold primaries Tuesday. https://t.co/HzsTCdBwyr

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Let's say in the US (1) social distancing slows the rate of spread beginning ~today *and* (2) testing capabilities… https://t.co/GFmr3lYWv9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Keep in mind also that the *reported* number of new infections is a lagging indicator of *actual* infections. It ta… https://t.co/l1k5IRr4je — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

New infections declining would be a pretty big (positive) sign if it's sustained over a couple of days. https://t.co/55O1R24eDF — PolitiTweet.org

Mark Lowen @marklowen

The only crumb of solace is that new infections stand at 2116, down from 2651 yesterday. Let’s desperately hope thi… https://t.co/sTLrCZ7u73

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In some ways Democrats are lucky that this is coming at a point where their primary has become less competitive and… https://t.co/Sq1SgLFRbt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 13, 2020 Hibernated