Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is great news. I don't know exactly which hospitals are most in need, but my understanding is NYC and Seattle… https://t.co/ZLKyC8PgMu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

There's a shortage now, how many ventilators you making @elonmusk? https://t.co/hsaP9RMDZK — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And even though he self-quarantined after feeling symptoms (good), his contacts didn't because he hadn't been able… https://t.co/rd3IzqkQTa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Timeline here is instructive. 4-5 days between when he feels initial symptoms and getting test results. And that's… https://t.co/qm5n79CuxN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @trvrb: I've been mulling over the @MRC_Outbreak modeling report on #COVID19 mitigation and suppression strategies since it was posted o… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's sort of crazy that Congress does not provide for remote voting. This was an extremely foreseeable risk. https://t.co/DQyRTp7iAM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

2 members of Congress now positive. This could be a big problem, especially given the ages of many members. https://t.co/m2vhPooGVM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At an equivalent point in the 2016 race (after WI when 59% of delegates were awarded) Sanders needed 58% of remaini… https://t.co/CQQ0NZo8pd — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Sanders would need 63% the remaining delegates to claim a majority, which is roughly equivalent to winning the rema… https://t.co/BtaYjgfev2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Our delegate guesstimates (based on results as reported as of this morning): Biden 1237 Sanders 937 Warren 63 Bloo… https://t.co/mENX81TSz9 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This ALSO means that comparing the US's growth curve to other countries *isn't that helpful* even if makes for inte… https://t.co/rHDIidRkJe — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The @COVID19Tracking data is not comprehensive and there are ups-and-downs from day to day and other quirks (some s… https://t.co/TDf1oMDAiE — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Today, for example, @COVID19Tracking recorded 20,045 new tests, of which 1985 (9.9%) were positive. One week ago, b… https://t.co/t3nR1wBcSN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not the last time I'm gonna have to say this: The very sharp increases in COVID-19 positives in the United States… https://t.co/H4dkQAn0FU — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ryanabest: “Now I have a lot of worry about my health, but I’m also terrified about my ability to stay afloat financially even if I don… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This also applies to the stock market. It didn't really adjust its priors quickly enough. I'm not sure the news has… https://t.co/11RoG3moTu — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @geoffreyvs: Biden’s delegate lead is now nearly insurmountable. While it might be a bit before the next primary is held, the race is al… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

4) Social distancing strategy. Can technology (i.e. temperature scanners) help? What activities can be made safer?… https://t.co/yKeD5TVRO8 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Front 1) Hospital capacity. The most urgent. ICUs. Ventilators. Doctors. 2) Testing and surveillance. MORE, better,… https://t.co/PojF19iPGG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is the end of a somewhat meandering but perhaps useful thread on the Imperial College study that I sent out wh… https://t.co/O7ZnGJkv2o — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm tempted to tweet something like "Bernie Sanders suspends his campaign to cut out carbs during the lockdown" jus… https://t.co/GWuUsDD4MC — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Folks, the Sanders dropout rumors are not confirmed and are being contradicted by Sanders staff. https://t.co/AGEZ4HfAmY — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But there are a lot of worlds where things work together on multiple fronts (expanded ICU capacity + better testing… https://t.co/CukjaJHqDN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I agree if you're limited to the options available in the US/UK *right now*, your choices are basically a) extreme… https://t.co/4g09IKFwfL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A largely related question is whether the report sufficiently accounts for potential improvements in *technology*,… https://t.co/gg08jKEO1F — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Put another way, can the model explain South Korea and China? (And to a lesser extent Taiwan, Japan and Singapore?)… https://t.co/rbceElc9ph — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And empirically re: interventions, you run into the issue that a number of Asian countries seem to have come up with strategies that *for now* seem to be containing spread in ways seem more effective than they imply is plausible. (Note: "for now" is doing a *lot* of work there.) — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not an expert here but I know enough to know their assumptions re: disease transmission i) seem empirically driven… https://t.co/xhK5Od2ggw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If you wanted to critique the Imperial College study it probably wouldn't revolve around their assumptions re: dise… https://t.co/ZVzww10tC0 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @baseballot: The AP has called the #IL03 Democratic primary for Marie Newman, who beats Rep. Dan Lipinski 47–45%. Huge, huge win for pro… — PolitiTweet.org