Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Washington state is the most encouraging, conversely. They've done a lot of testing, the data is good, and the curv… https://t.co/FeMM8KxCX4 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

NYC metro is quite scary. They're doing a LOT of testing but even so, the number of positives as a share of tests r… https://t.co/pEKYINMiPz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm not sure it's useful to look at the US coronavirus numbers as a whole. For now, it's probably best to think abo… https://t.co/EPHzlquCH6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias *Temporary* suspensions of certain medical privacy laws to allow for better case tracking. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Also... the testing situation in the US is improving a LOT, although far more in some places than others. Within a… https://t.co/H1TJLH3xaj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's the same principle IMO. Healthcare workers should be a high priority for testing, just like political leaders… https://t.co/CMhDJlxCKP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

People on the frontlines of crafting the response, including people such as senators, governors and mayors, should… https://t.co/0Y1aFzsxV6 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For the time being, the seasonal flu is still a lot more common than COVID-19. So if the seasonal flu falls by 30%… https://t.co/3PqeV03QWm — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One thing to be careful about with the Kinsa data is that their data is capturing both COVID-19 *and* the seasonal… https://t.co/kiBjdDb9q9 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How do you communicate that message ^^^ to the public? I don't know. I'm trying to imagine the honest, internal dia… https://t.co/NOkXBx4mb1 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As you go further out in time, uncertainties increase. In terms of social distancing, the correct attitude for gove… https://t.co/7rmgY4s8Os — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

(The responses include: substantially increase social distancing, substantially increase hospital capacity, substan… https://t.co/1D7nM6gfbJ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe worth re-emphasizing: there are a lot of uncertainties in the long-term coronavirus outlook. The column below… https://t.co/Q71ojgRyDF — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: The top-line numbers are sobering. https://t.co/aqne93T3TG — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @sciencecohen @Mattkempner I think in the long run, people will need to have a better idea of whether they… https://t.co/m5m3DCSqua — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @sciencecohen @Mattkempner I think/hope there will be a lot of tolerance for interventions that are not fo… https://t.co/k6ZC9D9flo — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Indeed, the timing of a potential second wave of infections in the fall could line up badly with election day in No… https://t.co/3uhO5wzZCN — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For jurisdictions that still aren't doing enough social distancing, this may scare them straight (good). However, t… https://t.co/cEM2z36knj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But this reflects the lag between when curve-bending measures (mostly meaning social distancing) go into effect and… https://t.co/eDD7HW6w5x — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Next week is not going to be easy on the COVID-19 front. If there are green shoots here and there, and I hope there… https://t.co/T9ODBtwmuL — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @yashar: States need to start preparing for a mail-in ballot only election in November. It would take months to set this up for states… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@elonmusk Per Bayes' rule, it's potentially a bigger issue as the threshold for testing is lower, e.g. if someone w… https://t.co/6K3DevJXCz — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@elonmusk Yeah, this is something I wish I knew more about. The expert consensus doesn't seem to be very clear. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @edyong209: @NateSilver538 I asked one of the virologists in that piece about this, re: the deaths of young doctors. She noted that HCWs… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I say "intrigued" because my intuition (not worth much in this case!) is that it might be easier to model some of t… https://t.co/IEJCwZ6V68 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm really intrigued by theories where either the *amount* of coronavirus you have gives it very different properti… https://t.co/gAKTUFDNT2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Those indicators seem worrying, both from data (where available) and reporting (see article above). What we don't r… https://t.co/sFzmBPRsRb — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

For the most part, I'm much more interested in measures like these in NYC than in the count of positive cases. * H… https://t.co/8qVcG77J0Y — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshrobin We will be back! It's going to be a long, hard spring, though, and a hard recovery. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So, yeah, NYC is sort of the exception to my mantra of "we're measuring tests, not cases". NYC has done quite a f… https://t.co/rhq2wlHC4U — PolitiTweet.org