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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Some of these economic models are not super well designed. But the basics are that even a mild recession would like… https://t.co/DfYp5tnEel — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've got an analysis up of what economic models say about Trump's re-election given the likelihood of a coronavirus… https://t.co/NqcxpcqrnX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Andrew Cuomo is now more likely to be the Democratic nominee than Bernie Sanders, according to PredictIt.… https://t.co/W7ChWuKSOA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@zeynep I don't see any attempt from you to evaluate the coverage in a comprehensive way. You're cherry-picking. Yo… https://t.co/WLf3AwnPN8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@zeynep Uncertainty amidst something growing at exponential rates is both hard to understand and hard to convey to… https://t.co/AcMc2nZRlO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@zeynep I don't know. I, as an alert reader of media coverage, have been worried about this for a long time, as my… https://t.co/atzZYAhEyL — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@zeynep The media coverage on this story has been not without flaws. But pretty good on balance as compared to most… https://t.co/h17AkYwSRU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D @p_avellar @dylanjlawrence South Korea has only tested ~1% of its population. The places that people think… https://t.co/GPwAs2yfGI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@SethS_D Asymptomatic vs. very mild can be a bit of a fine line. Like if you're asked to recall symptoms retrospect… https://t.co/4Eh7DnofNS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 25, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @sciencecohen: One of the most surprising things to me is that people keep being surprised by explosions like New York. The virus is fai… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Other than Louisiana, which has really ramped up its testing, a lot of those states may be about a week behind the… https://t.co/nigwUZpaf5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A week ago, New York state had 87 detected coronavirus cases per 1m citizens Here's where a lot of Southern states… https://t.co/MDmMeKpihZ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@thecity2 Not meant to excuse anyone! I'm just saying everyone without adequate testing needs to be in stay-at-home… https://t.co/Z5HEsFEZQR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's sort of a catch-22. You don't do enough testing, so you don't realize you have a problem. You don't know you h… https://t.co/r5032yng1b — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And they generally have much worse testing. Georgia has conducted only about 1/3 as many tests per capita as the co… https://t.co/Mi6TfwDEsz — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Cohn @CitizenCohn

Because California and New York are so prominent -- especially in the media -- easy to forget how much of the count… https://t.co/57lzgMbHGJ

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Georgia has no stay-at-home order and Atlanta just issued one that went into effect at midnight. Nor (per restauran… https://t.co/xz8UXJFQnE — PolitiTweet.org

Chris Hayes @chrislhayes

Georgia hasn't done a ton of testing, so hard to get a sense of size there, but clearly things are pretty bad in At… https://t.co/vM0M0pmL61

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

More states are reporting the # of hospitalizations now, which is good. I am concerned about the South. Big day-ove… https://t.co/SY9wolaHwk — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Detected US cases up 22% day over day. As compared to 32% on Monday, 37% on Sunday, 36% on Saturday, 45% on Friday.… https://t.co/jwBA9NkssT — PolitiTweet.org

The COVID Tracking Project @COVID19Tracking

Our 4 pm update is published. US states report completing tests on at least 357,907 people, up 63,989 from yesterda… https://t.co/khLwIMHnza

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's possible that by Easter, WA and CA will be almost ready to get back to normal while red-state mayors and governors are screaming no. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Louisiana probably has the second-scariest situation in the country right now after New York and about as many deat… https://t.co/ubg1o6n3uc — PolitiTweet.org

Ronald Brownstein @RonBrownstein

As long as the disease remains clustered primarily in the biggest (blue) metros, more conservatives will argue that… https://t.co/qIRmNFPCUu

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm @chrislhayes Yeah, this is why I get annoyed by analyses that don't account for the rapid increase in test… https://t.co/AD3YZPGYBd — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@chrislhayes Not sure about that. The US has now conducted >= tests than Italy and >> than Spain. Those countries l… https://t.co/84KM7RYABq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@friscojosh You might want to divide the data between New York and everywhere else. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, I would love to hear more about whether this is a defensible approach also, especially given that "only" abou… https://t.co/iTYGnDtghJ — PolitiTweet.org

Helen Branswell @HelenBranswell

Would love to hear thoughts from the smart & time-generous ID modelers on Twitter about this UOxford model that sug… https://t.co/iky4k…

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A success story so far is Norway. They implemented a shutdown early (on ~March 12), are doing *lots* of testing and… https://t.co/947nyHnWYQ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While the situation is obviously quite tragic, It is now becoming a little safer to say that social distancing has… https://t.co/J7NXCdiWEW — PolitiTweet.org

Riccardo Puglisi @ricpuglisi

Today (March 24th) the daily percentage growth of confirmed #COVID19 cases in Italy is 8.21%, from 63,927 to 69,176… https://t.co/djAu8NVyr9

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

e.g. If NYC has an Ro of 2.6 (each infected person passes on to 2.6 others), whereas Wyoming has an Ro of 2.0, then… https://t.co/ohDqoJ9I8j — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I've seen a lot of debates about how much NYC's density contributes to its high number of coronavirus cases. That m… https://t.co/BirXx9gGqu — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @maggiekb1: I talked to researchers about how the current coronavirus tests actually work and now the lack of test availability makes mo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Retweet Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, it *seems* to me like a 3-week national lockdown ending on 4/15, with (importantly!) states/localities having… https://t.co/FSSM2IiVEY — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 24, 2020 Hibernated