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Showing page 197 of 910.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But there's also a batch of outstanding ballots that were *dropped off* on Election Day, instead arriving by mail.… https://t.co/sRrC7789Dy — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This is potentially interesting in Arizona. What we saw reported earlier tonight in Maricopa Co. were ballots that… https://t.co/L2Jrgs81ci — PolitiTweet.org
jamal james @Jamal___James
@Garrett_Archer Based on my saved early vote files, the final 150-200k, which are ED dropoffs, will be much more in… https://t.co/rvj3h3hsuy
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I could see some Warnock-Perdue voters in the (now fairly likely) Double Georgia Runoff scenario. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The wild card would be if some D-Desk went rogue and called PA before Biden took a lead there. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
For the time being, if you made the mistake (IMO) of calling AZ in the first place, you don't want being part of wh… https://t.co/yfti7AMicn — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Seems like the most likely scenario for a call is that networks call the race if and when Biden overtakes Trump in… https://t.co/3pGyzX678U — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@kumailn Yeah, he's definitely the favorite there. There can always be things you're not anticipating but if things… https://t.co/WTvzfFfzc5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Correction: Biden's won those ballots by ~50 points, not 40. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Biden has won the last 600k ballots counted in Pennsylvania by 40 points, which is much bigger than the 22-point ma… https://t.co/jT1v5YVa23 — PolitiTweet.org
Ryan Matsumoto @ryanmatsumoto1
PENNSYLVANIA MATH: Trump +195,953 votes 6,277,135 votes reporting ~88% estimated vote reporting ~855,973 votes rem… https://t.co/6MML5oPr5e
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @baseballot: OK, after a FiveThirtyEight quantitative edit from @NateSilver538, I must amend this: Given the 418,000 ballots remaining,… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@baseballot That'd make things pretty close, no? ~400k votes outstanding, Trump needs to net ~79k which is ~20%. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Ahh, looks like these were election day votes not "late early" votes. So much less of a bad sign for Biden. (Trump'… https://t.co/8wDmLvf6UP — PolitiTweet.org
The AZ - abc15 - Data Guru @Garrett_Archer
Those ballots that dropped from Pima are election day voters. This is good news for Biden. Trump carried election d… https://t.co/bvrsGofX0q
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
With these in hand, Biden now to win needs remaining ballots 66-34 to tie Trump, so he ran a little ahead of the pa… https://t.co/fNjHUXJxXi — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
PA may be a safer bet than AZ to eventually wind up in Biden's hands. https://t.co/QBG8Cz1ZnS — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
My absurdly precise forecast of the final popular vote margin is Biden +4.3%, with 81.8m votes for Biden and 74.9m… https://t.co/sVmW1As5vz — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But some of the perceptions were formulated because people were taking results in states like PA at face value (Wow… https://t.co/D4bm3FjtOf — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
In the end, polling averages will probably "call" the winners of all but 1-3 states correctly, along with the winne… https://t.co/9lvdEREOkz — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Biden would need to win them 71-29 which seems ... not crazy? https://t.co/Wxx2JQ8pqg — PolitiTweet.org
Nathaniel Rakich @baseballot
We're down to 162,000 absentees remaining uncounted in Georgia. Here's where they are. (Biden is trying to erase a… https://t.co/9IVHpVizhZ
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
NC - Likely Trump GA - Tossup, though I guess I'd trust the Needle and say Lean Biden if pressed? PA - Lean Biden A… https://t.co/VEYKgs6dXc — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
On the liveblog right now, got a pretty handy overview for you of where I think the outstanding states stand. https://t.co/PO6Gnu4srG — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Not the most likely scenario, but if Biden wins PA, he can afford to lose Arizona *and* Nevada. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @conorsen: These mail votes coming in Georgia are 20-30pts better for Biden than a normal county baseline. Gotta see how exactly the Ful… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Worth mentioning that if you stopped counting ballots *right now*, Biden would win with this map. So Trump is relia… https://t.co/zfC0HrPHbN — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Basically the question is whether Trump can win all three of Georgia, Arizona and Pennsylvania. There are long-shot… https://t.co/rAS1ZGpg0y — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
With that said, there are some reasons to think the late-arriving ballots would be less R than you'd gather from pa… https://t.co/TGpSgadRyl — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Trump needs to win the remaining AZ votes by something like 20-25% depending on how many ballots there are. By part… https://t.co/0uaVHgpOiz — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Here's what's left to count in AZ. At first glance this would seem quite bad for Trump since it's largely mail ball… https://t.co/aHpvKWF8jH — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @JamesArkin: Susan Collins says Sara Gideon called her to concede the race. Maine Senate over, Collins reelected. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@chrislhayes @joshtpm We have to see. I don't know why district polls became a thing. But overall it looks as prett… https://t.co/L6JoJ6DKdh — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@joshtpm Something like that. — PolitiTweet.org
