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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @FiveThirtyEight: Note: Biden has taken the lead in Pennsylvania without the inclusion of ballots that arrived after Election Day. https… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @baseballot: This means Biden has taken the lead in Pennsylvania without even needing absentee ballots that arrive Nov. 4-6 (which could… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ABCPolitics: "I do not think there's a path back for Trump" in Pennsylvania, @NateSilver538 tells @GStephanopoulos. https://t.co/DA8JdV… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whichever network calls this first will look good in retrospect. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Electoral College has a laser on Joe Biden https://t.co/Woyvkdzcu2 — PolitiTweet.org

Adrian Wojnarowski @wojespn

Source: Portland has a laser on Anfernee Simons.

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Good for them. The outcome has been apparent for a while. No reason other sources shouldn't follow. There's some do… https://t.co/zNDdR3fjM1 — PolitiTweet.org

Decision Desk HQ @DecisionDeskHQ

Decision Desk HQ projects that @JoeBiden has won Pennsylvania and its 20 electoral college votes for a total of 273… https://t.co/vIGWoADdse

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Has Nate seen enough? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

BIDEN LEADS IN PENNSYLVANIA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Going by the popular vote, this will probably be the 2nd-least-close election since 2000. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The two strong "gut" feelings I had in defiance of our forecast were that Joe Biden wouldn't win Georgia and Jamie… https://t.co/HTv4v9rpM0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@AMFrankenberger Certainly not a done deal since Democrats could win both Georgia runoffs, which should be highly c… https://t.co/ls5GumMWF4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Anyway, just for posterity's sake, it feels weird in this moment that an outcome that has become fairly obvious to… https://t.co/4FfqRPUoyf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@donnellymjd There will be celebrating. There could be ... a lot of things I think! There could be a sort of pandem… https://t.co/8BALXKimr4 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That does imply, however, that there could be a strong *reaction* if/when a call gets made. Not necessarily a negat… https://t.co/hdZEvpAUg9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Replies here suggest the average person (not my followers, but the friends/associates of my followers) thinks it's… https://t.co/0LtPLOW0DA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

One other thing—and being in a pandemic where there's less casual social interaction probably makes this worse—is t… https://t.co/qqDnlvlDL1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

We're trying to keep the liveblog staffed but it's going to be a pretty thin crew overnight, mostly waiting for maj… https://t.co/oXQbGan2RF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To break the fourth wall a bit here, the timing is sort of uncertain and awkward in terms of when (and I do think i… https://t.co/XhgSNxwIel — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

To calibrate here, Fivey thinks Biden (who's running about evenly with Gross) has a 4% chance of winning Alaska con… https://t.co/5VaBobmQVp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Redistrict: I see...what you did there. https://t.co/5eQbYHZ0Du — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/bQGdwIP2mR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This election kind of has a 3:14 AM AP Alert feel to it. https://t.co/g2JxSyVb0N — PolitiTweet.org

Carl Zimmer @carlzimmer

Now @SteveKornacki is estimating Biden passes Trump in Pennsylvania around 1-3 am ET

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Garrett_Archer: @NateSilver538 It's 285k. I had received different estimates that ranged from what was posted to 330k. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro Like how LeBron should have gotten the 2015 Finals MVP? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Garrett_Archer This is probably a complicated question but what are the big sources of disagreement about how many ballots there are? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen @AsteadWesley Yeah I'm definitely leaning Georgia. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK here's a fun one while we're killing time. Any disagreements? https://t.co/PO6Gnu4srG https://t.co/OpkSg501qz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshrobin https://t.co/OVtRBanjaI — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

How I'd rate the outstanding states: AZ: Lean Biden GA: Likely Biden NC: Likely Trump AK: Likely Trump NV: [redacted] PA: [redacted] — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 6, 2020
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

A bit lower than yesterday's margin for Trump and a bit behind the pace he needs. Somewhat good news for Biden. https://t.co/lbEIWnoTcT — PolitiTweet.org

Taniel @Taniel

Trump won the latest batch of ballots (roughly 73K votes) from Maricopa by about 14%.

Posted Nov. 6, 2020