Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @AsteadWesley: concede or lose the ability to post? i'll take concede — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I think you can call this a concession from Trump. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @smotus: I was *joking*. https://t.co/h52X7Q8gQh — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

"leading a debate on the Senate floor about voter integrity" is pretty Orwellian tbh. This whole statement is full of doublespeak. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @maggieNYT: Confirmed https://t.co/awAdbZD013 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@dandrezner Non-joking answer: maybe they've all had COVID already. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @laurabronner: How Democrats won the Georgia Senate runoffs, by @baseballot, @geoffreyvs, @juruwolfe and me: 1. Incredible turnout, es… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@WesPegden @youyanggu This gets especially complicated in the US context because there's a high correlation between density (↑ spread) and political partisanship and blue counties tend to have higher mask wearing & more restrictions (↓ spread). Finding the right model specification gets very messy. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

While removal following impeachment in the House seems like a long shot, keep in mind that Republicans in the Senate seem to be considerably less pro-Trump than those in the House right now. And you only need a majority for impeachment (House), but 2/3 for removal (Senate). — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Take the over. https://t.co/JfASgHaCkM — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Betting markets now have Trump as a favorite to be impeached (note: impeached but not necessarily REMOVED) again. https://t.co/dhI1LTVsUE https://t.co/HwrruT1wAS — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@ScottGottliebMD Could Biden or Trump issue executive orders on this? — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@joshtpm It's Al Haig. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Although (in this otherwise toothless statement) she does say she's waiting until Monday. https://t.co/ASxURSyvCZ — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Welp, it's hard to invoke the 25th Amendment if the Cabinet officers who would be inclined to remove Trump are resigning. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin I'm just about to dive back in right now to a story that was 95% complete at 1pm yesterday before ... y'know. Sort of terrified to see how dated it's going to feel now. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Just start vaccinating age 75+ and dare Cuomo to stop you. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @conorsen: The combined age of Ossoff and Warnock (84) is less than the age of Dianne Feinstein (87). https://t.co/aT19QM8laT — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@conorsen We'll see how they vote in practice. e.g. I suspect that Doug Jones, in his heart of hearts, was at least as liberal at the median Democrat in the Senate, but he had a moderate voting record sort of out of necessity. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

They didn't do it with some Blue Dogs either, but with the Black pastor of Ebenezer Baptist Church and with a 33-year-old Jewish progressive former film producer, neither of whom have ever held elected office before. In Georgia. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It's for extremely understandable reasons, but people seem to be sleeping on the significance of the fact that Democrats **just won two runoffs in Georgia** to **claim control of Congress**. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mollyesque: The amazing thing about "it might have been antifa" is that Trump literally summoned these people to DC, spoke at their eve… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @BenjySarlin Also worth noting that many scholars hold you can impeach someone after they've left office (and prevent them from running again). https://t.co/pXAcMB4ee2 — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @BenjySarlin Yeah, I don't know. But what I'm saying is that impeachment is likely untenable as an *immediate* solution to the crisis. The 25A is more tenable as an immediate fix but also a gamble. In some ways using the 25A as leverage (~what's happening now) might be the least-worst plan. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jbarro @BenjySarlin I mean... it doesn't seem that ambiguous? The 25A anticipates that there could be disagreements about how the designation is implied, and it sets out the vote in Congress as the way to resolve those. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin They aren't separate tracks, but it seems unlikely that the impeachment process could be completed before Jan. 20 unless nearly everyone is on board, and (at a minimum) McCarthy and many House Republicans are not. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@BenjySarlin The 25th Amendment is likely a lot faster to implement, and wouldn't ultimately require Congress to get involved because it can wait 3 weeks (i.e. to the end of the term) to consider whether Trump is incapacitated, during which time Pence would remain acting president. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Whether or not it actually gets involved, I'm glad for the presence of the 25th Amendment because it gives Pence and the Cabinet a certain amount of leverage to check Trump's actions and the leaks that it's being considered suggest that leverage is being applied. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is pretty convincing on, if one is concerned about the final two weeks, 25th Amendment > impeachment. https://t.co/ZPcNBvZtmP — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Patterico Yeah, it's almost a catch-22. Anybody with a substantive role who has enough distance from Trump to consider resigning at this point is probably somebody the country doesn't want resigning. — PolitiTweet.org