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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @hakeemjefferson: Was happy to join @galendruke and crew on the @FiveThirtyEight podcast to talk about whiteness, white supremacy, and t… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 12, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Echoing what others are saying, but people should not minimize Kevin McCarthy's role in all of this. Arguably he bears at least as much responsibility as Hawley and Cruz. And he's more likely to be in a position of power going forward (e.g. as Speaker of the House in 2024). — PolitiTweet.org

Dave Wasserman @Redistrict

True story: the day before the election, House GOP Leader Kevin McCarthy told me that if Trump refused to concede,… https://t.co/lnDVToPN9u

Posted Jan. 11, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lots of news this week obviously but it's worth reflecting on how Georgia was a pretty strong repuduation of Trump and the GOP: https://t.co/gM3sOt1HoC — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 11, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @owasow: To make sense of the pro-Trump attack on the Capitol, many folks have analogized to military conflicts like the War of 1812. A… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 11, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @chrislhayes: A few minutes earlier and we could have had a mob beating senators to death. Please understand how close this came. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 10, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In the span of 2 years, Democrats flipped both Senate seats in Arizona along with the presidental race there and this is what the state Republican party is doing. — PolitiTweet.org

Kaili Joy Gray @KailiJoy

Arizona Republicans are censuring Cindy McCain for criticizing Trump for attacking John McCain. Among other thing… https://t.co/qIF6batTjp

Posted Jan. 10, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @TimAlberta: I can’t understand for the life of me why Lin Wood isn’t being arrested for conspiring to assassinate the Vice President.… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If there's a significant political backlash for impeaching Trump for **inciting an insurrection** then we're probably completely fucked no matter what. — PolitiTweet.org

Ryan Struyk @ryanstruyk

No. 2 House Republican Rep. Steve Scalise: "I don't think anybody can look and say an impeachment of this president… https://t.co/CfctFJpbxR

Posted Jan. 9, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trumpism was quite unsuccessful electorally despite the structural advantages from having its support concentrated among white, rural voters. — PolitiTweet.org

Rufus Gifford @rufusgifford

From @nytimes this morning : “Mr. Trump is the first president since Herbert Hoover to preside over the loss of th… https://t.co/oXMYyztCUK

Posted Jan. 9, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @benthompson: I completely agree with everything Mike wrote here. https://t.co/ACfFoDzXOU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mkraju: McConnell says trial won’t start before Trump leaves office unless there’s an agreement of all 100 senators, given Senate rules… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The first 6 or so are easy, and then there’s another 6 that are plausible... and then it gets hard. I’m assuming McConnell would have to be at least tacitly on board for removal to have a shot so one question is which votes he could whip/deliver. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So if I’m doing the math right, Trump’s removal from office would require the support of 18 current Republican Senators plus all Democrats. (This will fall to 17 once Ossoff/Warnock are seated). Non-rhetorical question: Who would the 18 be? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 9, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @carlzimmer: That highly contagious “US variant” you may have heard of from the coronavirus task force? It doesn’t exist. @apoorva_nyc h… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Democrats would presumably be willing to give Murkowski some decent committee assignments if she caucused with them, potentially important to a state like Alaska that relies heavily on federal funding. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

With Alaska's new Top 4 primary system, Murkowski has little electoral incentive to remain a Republican. It wouldn't surprise me if Democrats wind up with a 51-person caucus including 3 independents (King, Bernie, Murkowski). 👀 — PolitiTweet.org

James Brooks 🗞️ @AK_OK

Alaska Sen. @lisamurkowski wants @realDonaldTrump to resign now, and if the Republican Party is really the party of… https://t.co/T2ZHhHWXNQ

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @hakeemjefferson: In my latest piece for @FiveThirtyEight, I argue that the storming of the U.S. Capitol was abt maintaining white power… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @marcambinder: Here are the actual physical and temporal limiting factors on presidential nuclear launch authority. 1/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Cuomo just announced that group 1b, which includes age 75+ and other categories, can begin getting vaccinated on Monday. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @BarackObama: For those who are wondering why so much attention has been focused on the response of the Capitol Police to the Trump-insp… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

If I were Pelosi and I learned these steps were in place, I don't think I'd want to go around broadcasting that to everyone. Might encourage Trump to prove her wrong or to test the limits of his powers. I'm not sure I want foreign governments knowing this either. — PolitiTweet.org

Jonathan Lemire @JonLemire

WASHINGTON (AP) — AP Source: Pelosi tells Dems that top military official assured her steps are in place to prevent Trump nuclear launch.

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @maggiekb1: Hey, remember the COVID-19 vaccine? We dove into the reader mailbag at @FiveThirtyEight's Podcast-19 to answer questions a… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @CNNPolitics: CNN Exclusive: President-elect Joe Biden will aim to release every available dose of coronavirus vaccine, a break with the… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara Of course. And I do think people underestimate the resilience of the two parties in a 2-party system. But the Georgia results (in an environment that was midterm-like in some respects) have me taking more of a wait-and-see attitude toward 2022. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@Neoavatara I think "highly likely" is too strong. It's liable to be a weird political environment and the Senate map is pretty good for Democrats. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Obviously you wouldn't bet on Trump's *removal* but it's interesting that McConnell isn't shooting down the possibility. Would be easy for him to get the message out that "hey, the House can have its fun, but we'll just slow-walk it and run out the clock". — PolitiTweet.org

Jake Sherman @JakeSherman

@SpeakerPelosi Impeachment will pass the House. The question is will 16 Senate Republicans vote to get rid of him -… https://t.co/jqqAokU0Ka

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Well finally 2021 is giving us some good news. — PolitiTweet.org

BNO Newsroom @BNODesk

BREAKING: Pfizer says COVID-19 vaccine appears to work against key mutation in variants first found in the UK and South Africa - REU

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@soledadobrien "A person who currently advises Donald Trump" is not exactly confidence-inspiring sourcing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The fact is that Republicans do have a decent amount of leverage here, especially if Trump wants to remain in office to deliver further pardons. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 8, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Maybe noteworthy that the statement came shortly after Pence's office seemingly wanted it to be known that Pence wasn't cool with invoking the 25th Amendment, after there had been a lot of chatter about the 25th Amendment being considered yesterday. — PolitiTweet.org

Conor Sen @conorsen

Looking forward to the reporting about who forced him to put out that video and why.

Posted Jan. 8, 2021