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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
It sees very unlikely that we're going to completely eradicate COVID any time soon so I'd hope the bar for reopening schools is (a lot!) higher than this. https://t.co/6c6SudopYy https://t.co/b9eOvNnLd5 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@ForecasterEnten The Yonkers Yonkees? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JSEllenberg Me spending too much time inside reading Twitter. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@skepticalsports I don't have a good sense for how common tennis participation is worldwide. One thing about basketball, though, is that the extreme correlation between height and talent makes the talent easier to identify at a young age. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@skepticalsports I'd think basketball would do much better than tennis by that metric, for example. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@skepticalsports It seems like the operative question should be: If a randomly selected person from throughout the world had outstanding natural talent at X sport, what is the chance they would actually see that talent through to compete in that sport at the highest level? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @PeterHamby: If you think Trump will never fade away, you might not have lived through the Sarah Palin moment. I wrote about how Palin's… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
"How should people change their behaviors once they've been vaccinated but there's still a lot of community spread?" is another question that requires nuance but often isn't getting it. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
One obvious example is you've seen an uptick in people scolding images depicting both behaviors that are quite dangerous (that supermarket in Florida where no one's wearing a mask!😬) and others showing e.g. relatively safe outdoor activities. We've lost some of the nuance there. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I guess what I'm getting at is that uncertainty demands nuance, but ironically, people aren't looking for nuance at times of greater uncertainty! They're tired of the uncertainty and want simplicity and even dogmatism. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Don't think there's been any point in the pandemic at which there's been such a confusing mix of good *and* bad COVID news. I actually think the good > bad, but there's plenty of both, and it's worth thinking about how people react to the uncertainty and confusion that creates. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Saahil_Desai: This is an extremely good point by @chrislhayes that gets lost in lots, if not most, political coverage https://t.co/GTyp… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@jazzmyth The number between 7 and 9 is currently broken on my keyboard. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JamesSurowiecki @DaytimeDan It's so tiresome at this point. There are times when the "leave it to the scientists!" dunk makes sense. But there are also times when people who aren't epis per se have relevant expertise to COVID-adjacent questions. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I'd think people should be careful about making predictions about whether the US will/won't get hit by a new wave b… https://t.co/kxtuQMB1f2 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@notdred @conorsen @mattyglesias Recent polls are pretty consistent in showing 50% eager, 15% opposed, 35% wait-and-see. I think we need strategies to work on that 35% group, but Gottlieb is right that states will need/want to open it up to everyone once we have enough for the 50%. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @perrybaconjr: In America's "uncivil war," Republicans, particularly GOP state-level officials, are increasingly the side taking the mos… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Makes sense. About 250m Americans aged 16+, and polls show about 50% of them (125m) are *eager* to get the vaccine. So once we've gotten enough doses to cover these people, which Gottlieb says will happen by the end of March, we start to have a demand problem. — PolitiTweet.org
Squawk Box @SquawkCNBC
"We're going to run out of demand sooner than we think. At some point in March and certainly by the end of March we… https://t.co/PFEKi9pe5T
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @StatsbyLopez: Here are the path's that Patrick Mahomes (top) and Tom Brady (bottom) took before pass attempts in shotgun during tonight… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
This aged well — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I predict that Tampa Bay will win the Super Bowl this year.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I predict that Tampa Bay will win the Super Bowl this year. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@conorsen Fairly or not, I don't think LeBron's ever going to displace MJ in the minds of some people. (Well, maybe if he gets up to 6 or 7 titles.) And you do have a career vs. peak issue there. I think the consensus will gradually move toward MJ & LeBron being co-GOATs. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
p.s. I suspect the consensus is right. Brady's the leader in career approximate value, the only attempt I'm aware of to compare players across positions. And that only accounts for the regular season; he's also the only NFL player with 6 Super Bowl rings. https://t.co/u81Q530doj https://t.co/ukQINvXZ3t — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Neoavatara My over-under on "how many vaccine jabs will I get over the next 3 years" is 3.5. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@Dereklowe Sorry if this is a dumb question, but given all their issues, do you think it might make sense for AZ to say "we're starting over and working on AZ 2.0" rather than updating with a version 1.1? — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
As recently as 2019, a USA Today panel put Brady at #2, behind Jerry Rice, so it's the 6th ring + this season that's catapulted him. https://t.co/ZESzSRgQ7Y — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I guess I didn't realize the extent to which this had really become the *consensus* view. 68% say Brady's the GOAT, including 51% who say he's CLEARLY the GOAT. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Is Tom Brady the greatest football player of all-time?
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
@JSEllenberg Yeah, for sure. Particularly the one about going over to friends' houses to get a sense for whether private gatherings are replacing those at restaurants, etc. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @SaraMZiegler: While we wait for the game to start, it’s the perfect time to catch up on all of the great NFL work from @fivethirtyeight… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Alternatively, the green and orange lines show how many people visited another household / had another household over in the past week. Those also show a slight decline to ~40% now from ~50% in the summer, though you can make out Thanksgiving and X-Mas spikes. https://t.co/8bqId1NIed — PolitiTweet.org
