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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Yeah, it seems like some people are hoping to discover One Neat Trick to persuade the unvaccinated to vax up. But vaccine resistance comes in a lot of shapes and sizes. Piecemeal approaches that try a bit of everything and make gains at the margins may be as well as we can do. — PolitiTweet.org

Ariel Edwards-Levy @aedwardslevy

Really feels like the "how do we get more Americans vaccinated" discussion has somehow turned into yet another roun… https://t.co/oBVONk9Tgp

Posted July 18, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Good thread on Delta. — PolitiTweet.org

Will Hoenig @WilliamBHoenig

I don't think leaders here have wrapped their heads around the impact of Delta in the US. This is a new era: A) A b… https://t.co/4YWxGPYO2b

Posted July 18, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ABCPolitics: As Pres. Biden approaches six months in office, @FiveThirtyEight's @NateSilver538 weighs in on whether or not he buys the… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 18, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FWIW, there might be some insights here in terms of vaccinate hesitancy. Very few old people—who face a MUCH higher risk of hospitalization and death—are willing to screw around & go unvaccinated for "ideological" reasons, even though many old people are conservative Republicans. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 17, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Lots of reasons for concern about vaccine hesitancy, but good to see that 89% of Americans aged 65+ are (at least partly) vaccinated. And all states have at least 77% of their seniors vaccinated. https://t.co/KzISbdaYKE https://t.co/EjPDeZTXZV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@notdred Yeah, rural areas in blue states might be the one exception to this. Even the blue-state governors were pretty quick to open up in the spring, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The whole problem is that vaccines are by far the most effective intervention, so if you're an [insert pejorative term] who's not willing to accept vaccination, it's hard to see how you'd accept other interventions (e.g. lockdown) that have a much worse cost-benefit ratio. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Not sure this makes sense. The low vaccination areas are in conservative states/counties that are extremely lockdown-resistant. — PolitiTweet.org

Sara Eisen @SaraEisen

The Treasury Secretary says Delta COVID variant is “a risk” to the recovery, is worried about low global vaccinatio… https://t.co/DJwZwseuZ7

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/jZ1ReYpa0o — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Two very cool jobs just opened up at FiveThirtyEight, one for a senior politics reporter and one for a data editor. We hope you'll apply! https://t.co/up0i0S8Lu3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

This is sort of a bizarre argument to make when many places in the world (e.g. the United States) are much more populous, much less vaccinated, and much more "open" than England. https://t.co/j1r6Dzmefx https://t.co/WfwrQjrsSb — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Timothee Chalamet, Wes Anderson, Tilda Swinton, Bill Murray https://t.co/halh0Am5Nt — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 16, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@mattyglesias I think you've found the Median Voter. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@POLITICO_Steve Yeah, I don't know how the underlying math works, it just seems to me like the Heat Index doesn't adjust enough for humidity enough? NYC is similar to DC right now and it feels at least as hot as the 110s I got in Vegas last week. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

FYI, these two places have the same Heat Index! I thought I was a weird outlier (I'm very bothered by humidity, not bothered much by temperature) but if 80% of you are like me and find the humid 90° location "hotter", then maybe the Heat Index is miscalibrated. https://t.co/CWJrPsGjWN — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@baseballot It's really just a humid take. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

What feels hotter to you? (These are basically typical summertime conditions in Miami and Las Vegas, respectively.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hot take: everyone should have their own personalized Heat Index. https://t.co/1C6Ch4x7Qs https://t.co/b2tf9lyPRj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@IChotiner We're entering stinky season in New York so there *are* some benefits to losing your sense of smell, please subscribe to my newsletter to learn more. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

So basically your choices are to get vaccinated or to get COVID. — PolitiTweet.org

Adam Kucharski @AdamJKucharski

In scenario where R is 6 (plausible for Delta in susceptible populations without any restrictions), and vaccination… https://t.co/MDIUaQSQxV

Posted July 15, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Probably a sign you're playing too much poker when your phone starts to autofill everything with poker terms. https://t.co/YH61VcoKIX — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

At some point I finally realized that the problem with arguing on Twitter is that you're intrinsically engaging with other people who like to argue on Twitter and those people are incredibly annoying. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 14, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @micahcohen: Podding with @sfrostenson @NateSilver538 and @galendruke!!!! 🥰🥰🥰😇😊 https://t.co/B3ieAWUsHP — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 12, 2021 Retweet
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Soccer is the most popular sport in the world but thanks for playing — PolitiTweet.org

Alex Thompson @AlexThomp

the prevalence of soccer fans on here is further evidence of twitter not being real life.

Posted July 11, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

It is 115° as we approach 6pm in Las Vegas but thanks to the low humidity it *feels* no hotter than 114°. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

@jaycaspiankang I hope you'll be visiting my new restaurant Mediocre Pasta But Big Wine Pours — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

My theory here is COVID taught people how much they value everyday activities that they had to give up during the worst phases of the pandemic, and it will probably be harder to get people to give those up in the future if new waves/future pandemics hit. https://t.co/ClfTziaKC0 https://t.co/Sc4kO6dY05 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 7, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Poker tournament Day 1: Played 9 hours, didn't lose a single hand where I put in more than 1 bet postflop. Poker tournament Day 2: Played 7 hours, only saw 3 showdowns, lost all 3. (Made the 💰 though.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 6, 2021
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Poker tournament Day 1: Played 9 hours, didn't lose a single hand where I put in more than 2 bets postflop. Poker tournament Day 2: Played 7 hours, only saw 3 showdowns, lost all 3. (Made the 💰 though.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 6, 2021 Just a Typo
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @phil_hellmuth: Phil Hellmuth and @NateSilver538: one of these guys is a professional poker player, the other one started one of the coo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 4, 2021 Retweet