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Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @hunterlantzman: @NateSilver538 nate be honest is this how the model works — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @RyanDEnos: There is still a few days left to register for #PoliticalAnalytics2018: https://t.co/dNJISWYqhh @Nate_Cohn @NateSilver538 @k… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: hi. i write stories for fivethirtyeight and edit its math puzzle, which is now a book, https://t.co/1l2L2Lfe1N. and in about 20… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: fivethirtyeight's first book, THE RIDDLER, is out today! it's a true collaboration. thanks so much to everyone who has submitted… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @_Drew_McCoy_: We were all watching to see how Collins would vote. Joe Manchin was watching to see how he would vote. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: there is a major election, in which russia and putin himself have been accused of meddling, and IT IS TOMORROW: https://t.co/aXF… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: If Kavanaugh Doesn’t Make It, Who’s Next? https://t.co/aMYJsvcyPG — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: find out what the 538 model says about your home sweet home: https://t.co/I9cgU8FOU3 https://t.co/dFoquGoTX1 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
I'm bidding $1 in the hopes that both you and Elon Musk go over. — PolitiTweet.org
Josh Barro @jbarro
Well, *I'm* considering taking Tesla private at $430.
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Patrick_J_Egan: Often lost in our focus on Trump's behavior is how steep a price he's paying for it in terms of public approval. Typica… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @perrybaconjr: A Trump-wing in governors' mansion? The president got really involved in the GOP gubernatorial primary in Georgia--and he… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: it's kavanaugh: https://t.co/T4UM1GNRSz https://t.co/oPFIa7hQhV — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Basically our CARMELO projections lean really heavily on scouting rankings and mostly mimic those. It's strongest opinions are probably on Bagley, which it likes, and Bamba, which it doesn't like, in part because of their ages. Bagley is almost a year younger than Bamba. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: How To Interpret Trump And Kim’s Summit In Singapore https://t.co/4PAhvkRgDh — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @MC_of_A: Uruguay have an attack made up of two great strikers and... not a lot else. Will it work against a weak group? And do Mo Salah… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: the best chess player in the world beat me at chess: https://t.co/uh7ZfHegkh — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @adamdavidson: Thoughtful expansion from @NateSilver538 on our twitter conversation: https://t.co/jekn7VztBS — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: Riddler Nation, look what we did! https://t.co/yAVOkBnhCe — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Trump's problems have (IMO) become considerably more severe over the past 6 months. And yet, his approval rating hasn't worsened (it's actually improved by a point or two). The degree of Congressional resistance hasn't meaningly increased. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @kevinroose: Reminder that big tech companies fear employee recruiting/retention problems way more than falling stock prices. You'll kn… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
In theory, ranked-choice voting should favor "safe" movies that everyone thinks is pretty good (e.g. Shape of Water?) relative to more groundbreaking but polarizing choices (e.g. Get Out?). Not clear that's how things have played out in practice, though. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @Seinfeld2000: @olivegarden what the fuck https://t.co/k8gWP5hWT9 — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
https://t.co/HxlrxrABmz — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
The Trump campaign's Electoral College strategy was quite optimal, though. Much better than Clinton's strategy and basically what the 538 model would have recommended. Not sure if's Conway or Parscale who deserves credit. But their campaign deserves credit, overall. https://t.co/zzS5UzJ6zO — PolitiTweet.org
Maggie Haberman @maggieNYT
Parscale is said to have real digital acumen, but he also spent most of 2016 privately acknowledging he knew little… https://t.co/dKvtXWyxS4
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
But important to remember that generic ballot polls are, at this early stage, mostly of registered voters rather than likely voters. Not crazy to think the Dem advantage could grow once pollsters witch over to likely voter models in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @ollie: thrilled to announce that "THE RIDDLER: Fantastic Puzzles from FiveThirtyEight" is now available for preorder! https://t.co/JO20… — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Trump's gonna get re-elected because of the all the new manufacturing jobs as curling rinks are hastily constructed in every Midwestern town >5,000 people. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @roseveleth: 🚨 🚨 MY RESULTS ARE IN 🚨 🚨 https://t.co/onUJYkgKFF — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
In this case, Trump's numbers *have* improved, so it makes sense that Dems are doing worse on the generic ballot than in December. Nonetheless, polls showing them only like 4-5 points a couple weeks ago may have overshot the mark a bit. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
RT @smotus: New rules for reporting statistical significance: p ≤ .05 = significant p ≤ .01 = significant AF p ≤ .001 = I didn’t control fo… — PolitiTweet.org