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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @hunterlantzman: @NateSilver538 nate be honest is this how the model works — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 31, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @RyanDEnos: There is still a few days left to register for #PoliticalAnalytics2018: https://t.co/dNJISWYqhh @Nate_Cohn @NateSilver538 @k… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 25, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: hi. i write stories for fivethirtyeight and edit its math puzzle, which is now a book, https://t.co/1l2L2Lfe1N. and in about 20… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 16, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: fivethirtyeight's first book, THE RIDDLER, is out today! it's a true collaboration. thanks so much to everyone who has submitted… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 9, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @_Drew_McCoy_: We were all watching to see how Collins would vote. Joe Manchin was watching to see how he would vote. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 5, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 2 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: there is a major election, in which russia and putin himself have been accused of meddling, and IT IS TOMORROW: https://t.co/aXF… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 2, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: If Kavanaugh Doesn’t Make It, Who’s Next? https://t.co/aMYJsvcyPG — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 24, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: find out what the 538 model says about your home sweet home: https://t.co/I9cgU8FOU3 https://t.co/dFoquGoTX1 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 30, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 3 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I'm bidding $1 in the hopes that both you and Elon Musk go over. — PolitiTweet.org

Josh Barro @jbarro

Well, *I'm* considering taking Tesla private at $430.

Posted Aug. 7, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Patrick_J_Egan: Often lost in our focus on Trump's behavior is how steep a price he's paying for it in terms of public approval. Typica… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 6, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @perrybaconjr: A Trump-wing in governors' mansion? The president got really involved in the GOP gubernatorial primary in Georgia--and he… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 25, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: it's kavanaugh: https://t.co/T4UM1GNRSz https://t.co/oPFIa7hQhV — PolitiTweet.org

Posted July 10, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Basically our CARMELO projections lean really heavily on scouting rankings and mostly mimic those. It's strongest opinions are probably on Bagley, which it likes, and Bamba, which it doesn't like, in part because of their ages. Bagley is almost a year younger than Bamba. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 20, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: How To Interpret Trump And Kim’s Summit In Singapore https://t.co/4PAhvkRgDh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @MC_of_A: Uruguay have an attack made up of two great strikers and... not a lot else. Will it work against a weak group? And do Mo Salah… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 7, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: the best chess player in the world beat me at chess: https://t.co/uh7ZfHegkh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 14, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @adamdavidson: Thoughtful expansion from @NateSilver538 on our twitter conversation: https://t.co/jekn7VztBS — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 8, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: Riddler Nation, look what we did! https://t.co/yAVOkBnhCe — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 24, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump's problems have (IMO) become considerably more severe over the past 6 months. And yet, his approval rating hasn't worsened (it's actually improved by a point or two). The degree of Congressional resistance hasn't meaningly increased. 3/ — PolitiTweet.org

Posted April 15, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kevinroose: Reminder that big tech companies fear employee recruiting/retention problems way more than falling stock prices. You'll kn… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 27, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In theory, ranked-choice voting should favor "safe" movies that everyone thinks is pretty good (e.g. Shape of Water?) relative to more groundbreaking but polarizing choices (e.g. Get Out?). Not clear that's how things have played out in practice, though. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 5, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @Seinfeld2000: @olivegarden what the fuck https://t.co/k8gWP5hWT9 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted March 3, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

https://t.co/HxlrxrABmz — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

The Trump campaign's Electoral College strategy was quite optimal, though. Much better than Clinton's strategy and basically what the 538 model would have recommended. Not sure if's Conway or Parscale who deserves credit. But their campaign deserves credit, overall. https://t.co/zzS5UzJ6zO — PolitiTweet.org

Maggie Haberman @maggieNYT

Parscale is said to have real digital acumen, but he also spent most of 2016 privately acknowledging he knew little… https://t.co/dKvtXWyxS4

Posted Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

But important to remember that generic ballot polls are, at this early stage, mostly of registered voters rather than likely voters. Not crazy to think the Dem advantage could grow once pollsters witch over to likely voter models in the fall. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 28, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ollie: thrilled to announce that "THE RIDDLER: Fantastic Puzzles from FiveThirtyEight" is now available for preorder! https://t.co/JO20… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 26, 2018 Retweet Deleted after 4 years Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Trump's gonna get re-elected because of the all the new manufacturing jobs as curling rinks are hastily constructed in every Midwestern town >5,000 people. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 24, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @roseveleth: 🚨 🚨 MY RESULTS ARE IN 🚨 🚨 https://t.co/onUJYkgKFF — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 21, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

In this case, Trump's numbers *have* improved, so it makes sense that Dems are doing worse on the generic ballot than in December. Nonetheless, polls showing them only like 4-5 points a couple weeks ago may have overshot the mark a bit. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 9, 2018 Deleted Hibernated
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Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @smotus: New rules for reporting statistical significance: p ≤ .05 = significant p ≤ .01 = significant AF p ≤ .001 = I didn’t control fo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 29, 2018 Retweet Deleted Hibernated