Nate Silver

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @kjhealy: That's why it's a scandal, you dipshit. https://t.co/XJItYjqfmw — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @sonof425: @elonmusk @NateSilver538 Children's, Evergreen, and Swedish in Seattle are on the edge. Friends of mine who are nurses there… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @davelozo: In global disaster movies, there’s always a scientist who’s like, WE HAVE TO ACT NOW OR PEOPLE WILL DIE and some government g… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: As wild as the past month’s worth of Democratic Primary has been, Biden led national polls consistently except for a brie… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @_Drew_McCoy_: There's a self-fulfilling prophacey issue too. Much less incentive to drop out as long as you are collecting some delega… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @friscojosh: Nate says he is going to go looking for late momentum in the model and now I'm questioning everything https://t.co/83GdkY4… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @lbronner: According to my model the race in NH is a closer than it looks right now. Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar have a long tail o… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

That would imply the most viable alliances are between some combination of Buttigieg, Warren and Klobuchar, who are (1) all competing for somewhat overlapping groups pf voters, and (2) are all in pretty bad shape unless they can finish ahead of *at least one* of the frontrunners. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @abgutman: How much substance is behind this switch? According to FiveThirtyEight, Jeff Van Drew votes with Trump 7% of the time. For… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: Here’s how the impeachment debate has been impacting the race for congress! https://t.co/xI0X9dnucX — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Good (if unsurprising) reporting here that Bloomberg's announcement this week may just have been a trial balloon, but the phase "particularly if Joe Biden stays in" is kind of nutso. He's leading in almost every national poll and has for months! https://t.co/pRqpZVCuTe — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @timmarchman: Watching the Times’ reviewer dance around saying there is literally no reason to believe Anonymous is real is something el… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @poniewozik: "Well, grandkids, I knew that whatever happened, I needed to keep my job in the administration, taking careful notes so tha… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @conorsen: Another busted Silicon Valley growth chart: https://t.co/IKgMtDB3QI — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @aaronecarroll: @NateSilver538 We did a whole thing on this @UpshotNYT @nytimes https://t.co/QFvufaGTiV — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @friscojosh: 538 is hiring three spring interns. You will be published! https://t.co/7upeiUxiIa — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

LOL, actually I effed up and sent the wrong link in the first post in this thread. So will be deleting this in a sec and starting over. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

And you can find our new RAPTOR-fueled *player* projections here: https://t.co/2P8dWBAWMG https://t.co/yTgPD6obAO — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Next, the overall impact on our topline NBA championship odds Winners: Clippers: 6% —> 17% (RAPTOR *loves* Kawhi & PG) Rockets: 21% —> 26% Bucks: 11% —> 15% Nuggets: 3%—> 6% Losers: 76ers: 27% —> 10% (Not keen on Ben Simmons) Lakers: 12% —> 4% 😬 https://t.co/SfFhO0cq2P — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

Hey folks! Our new NBA metric, RAPTOR, is being published as we speak! So gonna be sending out a bunch of links. Here's an overview of the system: https://t.co/auUZElHuKW — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

As with a lot of Trump's strategy, his impeachment defense may help Trump with his base. But that's not the same as helping him overall. Watch swing voters, among whom the signs aren't great for Trump so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @poniewozik: Thanks @FiveThirtyEight and @galendruke for this talk about #AudienceofOne, which became a deep dive on not just Trump but… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @MattGlassman312: This is the precursor to an explicit argument that if Trump goes down, he’s bringing Pence with him, so don’t convict… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @davidsirota: I’ve known @BernieSanders for 20+ years. He is the hardest working human being I’ve ever known — he never stops fighting f… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @mattyglesias: @HeerJeet I disagree with this. The problem is Bernie should be trying to convince Democrats that he’s be a good Democrat… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ClareMalone: This week’s pod is up! We talked Ukraine/impeachment/2020 ramifications and took a look at that Des Moines Register poll e… — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @barry: You are allowed to just say, “We used Helvetica.” https://t.co/gekWHCxAgj — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

I also suspect certain better/smarter defenders are selective in which guys they foul. Andre Roberson has a conspicuously low opponent FT%, for instance. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

OK, another fun NBA stat. Over the past 6 seasons, opponents have hit 86.5% of their free throws on fouls committed by Damian Lillard, but just 57.6% on fouls committed by Andre Drummond. Big guys committing fouls is way less costly b/c they tend to come to worse FT shooters. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

RT @ParkerMolloy: https://t.co/0mWrCLaIrF — PolitiTweet.org