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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/aV0PybTKPn — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Two closing polls in Oregon Governor's race show Dems who had been flirting with Johnson coming home to Kotek. We're now projecting Dems will hold this seat. https://t.co/pKcrD0p60l https://t.co/jgObqZyor7 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/vRwoH6BILZ — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Left vs. Right on RCP @MariaTCardona - Why Dems Should Be Optimistic https://t.co/tfWsoclBIq Charles Lipson - The Democrats’ ‘Chicken Little’ Closing Argument https://t.co/lZUsBrjbhU — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Two final generic ballot polls: Economist/YouGov: R+1 Last poll, Oct 29-Nov1, was tied. Data For Progress (D): R+4 Last poll, Oct 28-31, was R+4 RCP Average now R+2.5 https://t.co/hGaWL9iTNn — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
RT @BillFOXLA: NEW: Two major fentanyl smuggling busts made by CBP officers at the port of entry in Nogales, AZ yesterday. 1st car: 204,0… — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Three more polls in GA Senate today: Insider Advantage: Walker +2 ECU: TIED Trafalgar (R): Walker +3 Walker now leads in RCP Average by +0.6% https://t.co/CuRhNKPLHS — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
But even if you accept the argument that some GOP Senate candidates are flawed - which they are to a degree, as are some Dems like Fetterman in PA - is that enough to buck historical trends in a year like this? I suspect not, but we'll obviously know the answer soon enough. — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
The other argument was/is that GOP Senate candidates were too problematic. (BTW, that claim doesn't apply to the House, where by and large the GOP has nominated a pretty strong, diverse group of candidates.) /3 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Initially, the argument was that Dobbs was a game-changer. I was skeptical of that from the beginning because, while it energized the Dem base in the short term, the data never supported the claim it would supplant the economy as the most important issue. And it hasn't. /2 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Quick 🧵 Fact: average in-party midterm losses since 1934: 28 House seats and 4 Senate seats. I have yet to hear a convincing argument for why Dems will do significantly better than average this year, especially taking into account 8% inflation & Biden approval in low 40s. — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
UNH poll of NH1: Pappas (D)* +1 Last poll, taken Sept 15-19, was Pappas +7 https://t.co/bhQVk5oXy6 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
RT @MegynKellyShow: Election Night Special - with @MegynKelly and friends: LIVE on YouTube & @SiriusXM tomorrow 9-11pmET. With: - @DennisP… — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Real. Deal. https://t.co/0EWibKPVqh — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Final Landmark Poll in Georgia: Senate Walker (R) +1 Last poll, taken Oct 15-17, was tied. https://t.co/CuRhNKPLHS Governor Kemp (R)* +6 Last poll was Kemp +6 https://t.co/7LdgKH9UE8 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Nevada Senate Race Hinges on Turnout, Latinos https://t.co/1rQQd4S5Ec — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/o82Z1KdvKP — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Biden, who is already a drag on his party across the country, is really making things difficult for Dem candidates in the home stretch this year. https://t.co/T9Zx9reeU7 — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
I'm framing this one. https://t.co/92FJ4OFREg — PolitiTweet.org
Bill Kristol @BillKristol
Hey, don't want to interrupt my Democratic friends when they're engaged in their favorite sports of The Gnashing of… https://t.co/ARiSyakO5i
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
UNH poll of New Hampshire: Senate Hassan (D)* +2 https://t.co/LNdQSbDZuT Governor Sununu (R)* +12 https://t.co/tyfFk4HZUr — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Trafalgar (R) Ohio poll: Senate Vance (R) +10 https://t.co/po5rMXSZqb Governor DeWine (R)* +25 https://t.co/LUqeVsliUs — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Insider Advantage poll in New Hampshire: Senate Hassan (D)* +1 https://t.co/LNdQSbDZuT Governor Sununu (R)* +16 https://t.co/tyfFk4HZUr — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/ViZ4lsqGZt — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Raddatz: Is Joe Biden the best guy to go against [Trump]? Dem Yvette Simpson: You know, anybody over Trump. I think Joe Biden has to recover from this year. His approval rating has jumped slightly, he still looks a little tired. I think if we can get his energy back, maybe. — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
NBC News generic congressional ballot: D+1. Last poll, taken Octo 14-18, was R+1 RCP Average now R+2.5 https://t.co/hGaWL9iTNn — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Final Des Moines Register poll: Grassley +12 https://t.co/tZX8R5sWMc — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/tlI87Y9x4y https://t.co/mjg6XCEiQV — PolitiTweet.org
Sahil Kapur @sahilkapur
DCCC Chair @RepSeanMaloney on @MeetThePress: "We're going to hold this majority." "I think this race is razor clos… https://t.co/Q5HuIOyN5a
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
https://t.co/4e6pWWSMLD https://t.co/GXqwifhDgQ — PolitiTweet.org
Bill Kristol @BillKristol
Straightforward from here: 1. Rs take House narrowly, Ds hold Senate and key governors. 2. D Senate lets Biden go… https://t.co/uQrB2qFBuz
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
I should clarify: Monday and Tuesday would be the "national federal holiday" piece, but voting would start on Saturday. So 4 days to vote, two of them would be "days off" for many/most voters. https://t.co/loCQgCHRso — PolitiTweet.org
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
I've tweeted this before, but here's my proposed natl election reform: 1) do away w/all early voting & mail-in ba… https://t.co/HYMd6…
Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP
Red state governors would see their approval ratings shoot up 5 points if they committed to chipping in to fund the border wall. https://t.co/u5yDuzPAkT — PolitiTweet.org
Bill Scher @billscher
LAKE: We think there is an appetite by Americans to build this wall. We think they’ll help pay for it. CBS: Do you… https://t.co/CA5uehS4HX
