Tom Bevan

@TomBevanRCP ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 30, 2022

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Mon Nov 07 16:40:30 +0000 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Initially, the argument was that Dobbs was a game-changer. I was skeptical of that from the beginning because, while it energized the Dem base in the short term, the data never supported the claim it would supplant the economy as the most important issue. And it hasn't. /2 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

Quick 🧵 Fact: average in-party midterm losses since 1934: 28 House seats and 4 Senate seats. I have yet to hear a convincing argument for why Dems will do significantly better than average this year, especially taking into account 8% inflation & Biden approval in low 40s. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2022

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Tom Bevan @TomBevanRCP

The other argument was/is that GOP Senate candidates were too problematic. (BTW, that claim doesn't apply to the House, where by and large the GOP has nominated a pretty strong, diverse group of candidates.) /3 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Nov. 7, 2022