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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MichaelPetrilli Boring question — how reliable is the NAEP data for smallish sub-groups? In a lot of contexts, statistical results get vary noisy when you start slicing this thin. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@jbarro The coherent version of this is "we need to enact tighter fiscal policy so we can achieve disinflation through smaller impacts on more sectors." — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I think the stroller is the worst possible example of this — the point of a good stroller is that it's better for you, the adult human being who needs to push it for the next several years. — PolitiTweet.org
The Atlantic @TheAtlantic
“When you have a baby on the way, buying a stroller doesn’t feel like just buying a stroller; it feels like a measu… https://t.co/54iAiyOKc9
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
IMO in general "if you sincerely believed X, the most reasonable course of action would be Y but you're not doing Y therefore you don't genuinely believe X" is an overrated form of argument — people behave unreasonably all the time. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
There is some probability that if the GOP sweeps the 2024 elections, the United States will become a fascist dictatorship. But whether you think those odds are 0.000000001% or 65% there'd be no point in undertaking a plainly unconstitutional effort to ban the GOP. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I don't think this is true. — PolitiTweet.org
Shadi Hamid @shadihamid
If you believe the Republican Party is actually fascist, it would require you to believe a legal ban on the GOP wou… https://t.co/k1Q3aoThYy
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@mattreedah I think the antagonism is because I think he's a phony. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@JustinWolfers @jasonfurman I think they objectively took less shit from the media, the public, and politicians for erring on the side of softer labor markets from 2001-2017 than they did for making the reverse error over the past 12 months and that will influence them. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The truth is that Republicans talking more between now and Election Day about abortion will almost certainly hurt them — but the impact of messaging choices on election outcomes is modest while the impact on intra-coalition clout can be large. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
You can see the issue here by the way. Anti-abortion groups want to pass anti-abortion bills, so for them "Republicans did well in the midterms because they wisely ducked the abortion issue" is a bad narrative. They want it to be that the GOP fought and won on abortion. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
“The groups,” conservative edition https://t.co/PPkIwCYv7T
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@jasonfurman I'd say bottom-left is most likely and then it goes clockwise to stagflation as least-likely. But this is really just guessing about how the Fed will react to things. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I think this is a sub-set of social media occupying an uncanny valley between "shooting the shit with some friends" and "writing a column for a widely-read newspaper." — PolitiTweet.org
Phoebe Maltz Bovy 🐩 @BovyMaltz
Dating discourse is so repetitive because people can't seem to just establish that 1) it's fine to have absolutely… https://t.co/cg6hE7e62W
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
In terms of policy upshot "there are many cost-effective emissions-reducing levers that we should pull" and "we are ten years from a tipping point into extinction" are more different than some people operating in this space acknowledge. https://t.co/9HiuLwz2XK — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I like these three points from @dwallacewells: — No climate apocalypse — Every little bit of additional warming is bad — Our choices at the margin matter a lot https://t.co/NCrqc3ru55 https://t.co/Fe85cPew1q — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@BenjySarlin Of course there's another way to read that... — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MattZeitlin Makes you think. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@besttrousers Yes — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @justupthepike: proof that the best transportation plan is a good land use plan: outside DC, Metro's most-used sections are in MoCo and… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Folks, I'm going to be blunt — you have an obligation to he world to subscribe to my podcast so we can beat Sean Hannity. https://t.co/pPEdNOrf44 https://t.co/8JgR3yRgIs — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
“The groups,” conservative edition https://t.co/PPkIwCYv7T — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@DKThomp @ModeledBehavior Intel successfully pivoted from memory chips to processors. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Why do media organizations tend to go with the most downbeat framing of every possible development? It's probably not a partisan motive — the audience clicks and shares more on negativity. https://t.co/BJPZXhsGuN — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
If you're unsettled by the extent to which Fed efforts seem to work through housing construction (and I think you should be) it's time to look at deficit reduction — I'd suggest starting with Medicare provider payments, tax deductions for rich people. https://t.co/M703JcuGWC — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
We had a quarter of good inflation-adjusted growth even as nominal growth slowed down — that's good news! Bad things might happen in the future, but the actual new information we received was positive. https://t.co/QQjgSa5kbe — PolitiTweet.org
Jason Furman @jasonfurman
A nice GDP report: The headline is 2.6% with consumers remaining strong (+1.4%). But it also shows moderation in k… https://t.co/HzexQ5Kk0s
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
This is a real "all news is bad news" framing. — PolitiTweet.org
The New York Times @nytimes
Breaking News: The U.S. economy grew 0.6% in the third quarter, a 2.6% annual rate, a rebound, but not enough to ea… https://t.co/6kBmA9nWi9
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
What’s the matter with Laredo? https://t.co/qvvSBjo6PF https://t.co/xdy41B3aZe — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Absolutely agree — the macroeconomic response to the pandemic has been imperfect, but given the scale of the real shock it’s a pretty impressive improvement on what we saw in 2008. — PolitiTweet.org
Mike Konczal @rortybomb
Here is today's Real GDP number against the CBO prepandemic projections from January 2020. I still believe this re… https://t.co/8BEWgzAXMT
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @dellcam: a wapo reporter & editor inadvertently showing off how framing in an objectivity driven newsroom can lead readers to view the… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@Noahpinion Why not both? https://t.co/3QEBFbF4oZ — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
When you misread the map and take the wrong exit off the highway, it's important to not just get an accurate map of the local area but to actually revisit the initial mistake. https://t.co/qvvSBjo6PF https://t.co/xFEi2Qzv4K — PolitiTweet.org