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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The public polling hopium is off the charts these days. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@JakeAnbinder Congratulations! — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The Fed has gone too far. https://t.co/bh1Wg687gp — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@PatrickIber Dissolve the people and elect another? — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
To avoid questions about state boundaries, you can look at this on the state level. https://t.co/wSGCeuTxz0 — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Now it's not like Democrats moved left on climate for no reason. But you can't enact useful climate policy if you don't win the election, and it's hard to win if people think you are raising their energy costs. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Even in the 2012 platform, Democrats were talking about developing America's fossil fuel resources in a positive way — though at this point it was with the progressive wing cringing. https://t.co/VOVtMueX7M https://t.co/GrNTk6pDWB — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
People on Twitter like to argue more about positioning on social issues, but if you're purely interested in the politics the leftward evolution of Democrats on the environment is probably a bigger deal. Here's Jess Jackson in 1988. https://t.co/W6kGLTpcQU https://t.co/45IAPxGzml — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The flipside of this is that upscale Democrats are much more fired-up about climate change than working-class ones. — PolitiTweet.org
(((David Shor))) @davidshor
@jbouie @elias_isquith @chrislhayes @mattyglesias @zengerle One interesting and probably relevant tidbit is that ou… https://t.co/u3ZqQNvqpd
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@ilpomodoro2 @elias_isquith @chrislhayes @davidshor @zengerle It is unfortunate that some people choose to read me that way and even more unfortunate that other people choose to deliberately lie about my views, but I try to be very clear in my writing. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
There is generally more murder in cities subjected to the Red America gun policy regime — Republicans haven't come up with some magic formula they're just good at taking advantage of the fact that the media is disproportionately focused on a handful of cities. — PolitiTweet.org
Alec Stapp @AlecStapp
Didn't realize the murder rate in St. Louis is 3x higher (!) than Chicago https://t.co/ZjViSq5NN0
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@elias_isquith @chrislhayes @davidshor @zengerle If you think it's uniquely unacceptable to moderate on racial issues and want to just moderate on everything else, that would work fine. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I was wondering if people were maybe making too big a deal out of rising mortgage rates, but then I looked it up and this is a genuinely unprecedented pace of increase. https://t.co/LaL1sie3SU — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
This is super interesting. Using a cut-off design based on AFQT scores and shows there is a significant long-term benefit to enlisting with larger gains for Black soldiers. — PolitiTweet.org
QJE @QJEHarvard
Recently accepted by #QJE, “Army Service in the All-Volunteer Era,” by Greenberg (@greenberg_k), Gudgeon (… https://t.co/ef4RL5G1Mi
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
It still seems to me like a Trump/DeSantis ticket rather than DeSantis challenging him is win-win for both of them. — PolitiTweet.org
Alex Tabarrok @ATabarrok
So if Trump runs who wants to run as his vice-President???
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@leet Bluestone Lane on R Street — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@chrislhayes @davidshor @zengerle One question is could Democrats have stopped the war by opposing it more vigorously? — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I'm cooking up supply and demand charts. Upzoning and remote work can both reduce a city's housing costs, but the economic implications are very different. https://t.co/1FAkMskuaZ — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @McKenzieAWilson: I've never said this publicly but I don't give a fuck anymore: I was raped at 18 and my friend went and bought Plan B… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I've been thinking lately about @paulkrugman's "Depression Economics" idea and one thing about today's world is that for the first time in a while we're out of Depression Economics and back into Good Old-Fashioned Economics where everyone needs to relearn really simplistic stuff. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@chrislhayes @davidshor @zengerle Absolutely, swapping in Obama for Clinton in 2008 was very smart. It's worth recalling that *most* Democrats in congress opposed the war, and it was a blunder to go back to the Clinton well in 2016 when it could've been Amy Klobuchar or whoever else. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
So now we need to swim back to the Wisdom of the Ancients, while also always remembering that *by far* the most important thing for incumbents is to do macroeconomic management well and nothing at all to do with messaging choices. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Broadly speaking, this is just recapitulating tactical and strategic arguments associated with the DLC decades ago. The problem is the DLC made serious governing mistakes related to Iraq and fiscal policy that discredited them. https://t.co/0aqs4devnP — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
As I told @zengerle, I don't think any of this is particularly new or original or even interesting as an abstract intellectual question. It just happens to be true and important. https://t.co/rq5K2wmJMv — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
But post-2012, progressive movement leaders fell in love with mobilization theory and shifted the party's issue-positioning to the left while believing there would be no electoral price to pay. That's wrong. https://t.co/VOVtMueX7M — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Of course, in addition to getting swing voters to vote for you, you also want to mobilize sporadic voters to come out and vote. But sporadic voters are more moderate than consistent voters so there's no tradeoff or loophole here. https://t.co/2qQuOey9QD — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Barack Obama, similarly, appreciated the value of a good pander telling people that marriage is between a man and a woman flip-flopping only when the progressive position became popular thanks to other people's hard work. https://t.co/EM9EKccjSe — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Martin Luther King, Jr. appreciated this, and we have not really improved on his ideas. https://t.co/dZXpshSIqd https://t.co/TydjTcJXL4 — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
A related point is that most voters are white and most voters are at least somewhat selfish, so if you want to *effectively* advance the interests of non-white people you can't run around sounding like your ideas are bad for white people. https://t.co/n6vQkvRf7n — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
So what is the wisdom of the ancients? One important piece is that, as @milansingh03 recently wrote for Slow Boring, ideological self-identification matters in a world where self-identified conservatives outnumber self-identified liberals. https://t.co/XzK9neD6Rq — PolitiTweet.org