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Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @Ajzionts: Implementing voter-approved Medicaid expansion in conservative states often means facing political interference, weak outreac… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @MrDanZak: https://t.co/1pFZfElanb — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @Chris_Auld: @mattyglesias I agree re simple causal stories, but out of curiousity I tried controlling for income, education, race, reli… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@Chris_Auld That’s fascinating, thank you — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@Nate_Cohn This cycle was honestly a triumph of “trust the polls” over efforts to integrate other information about the economy, historical patterns, etc — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Yes https://t.co/hf2lKEHIxw — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@nataliemj10 What kind of transparency should people in the media be looking for? — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Golden was a rare Dem incumbent who got outspent (many people haven’t updated on this but money pushes Dems left these days) but won anyway in a very tough district because earned media > paid. — PolitiTweet.org
Erik Wasson @elwasson
MAINE: Most conservative House Dem @RepGolden declares victory )even though not called by AP yet) "The few precinc… https://t.co/R7rMGsIrHk
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Honestly depressing how many races feature two candidates who are underwater on favorability squaring off. — PolitiTweet.org
Daniel Marans @danielmarans
The biggest factor in John Fetterman's win over Mehmet Oz was likely Fetterman's success discrediting Oz early on a… https://t.co/8HcF57HOCs
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@realMABarreto @BSPresearch Isn’t “nearly two-thirds” supporting Democrats in fact a significant decline from levels seen in 2012/2016? — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @atrembath: “…the media, most of all the NYT, has sent the signal to people that it is un-progressive to be interested in and optimistic… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@DouthatNYT IMO the real issue is that it’s only superficially unhappy and that actually has incredible affection for politicians who don’t change much or rock the vote. We could be having happy politics in the zone bounded by Hogan, Bel Edwards, Murkowski, Manchin, Polis, and Romney. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
How to stop interest rate hikes from crushing housing supply: — Always Be Making Pro-Supply Regulatory Changes So More Projects Pencil Out Even With Slowing Demand — Deficit reduction https://t.co/xN9gsQ3FMV https://t.co/d48XgY4zKL — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The tricky part of disinflation is that a good news CPI print sends stocks soaring which is itself inflationary so the Fed needs to communicate “no no no no we’re still raising rates” and make everyone sad again. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
RT @nataliemj10: This. I continue to be impressed by Fox News's data/polling teams and those higher up who clearly support and protect the… — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MarcBodnick @ijbailey @davidshor It’s important to recall that the typical young person in America (like the typical old person!) has $0 in student loan debt and was not helped by this initiative so I’m skeptical Biden gained votes this way but no clear sign of a backlash. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MarcBodnick @ijbailey @davidshor Yeah I feel torn here — I think student debt forgiveness was a pretty bad idea on the merits but it seems to have worked out okay politically even if this youth vote stuff is overrated. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
The 2023 Supreme Court election in Wisconsin is going to be incredibly important to fixing this. Important that the Dem candidate (a) had a lot of money (b) does not lose votes over peripheral issues. — PolitiTweet.org
Hayden Clarkin @the_transit_guy
So the Democrats won statewide with 51% of the vote and earned 30% of the state house. Can someone explain to me ho… https://t.co/WPEY2zQCDl
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Seems bad…. — PolitiTweet.org
Casey Newton @CaseyNewton
According to messages shared in Twitter Slack, Twitter’s CISO, chief privacy office, and chief compliance officer a… https://t.co/FVHKF6dcc3
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Mandela Barnes had a lot of money (including from me!) especially when you consider that hard $$ buys more ads than group $$. He just came up short, unfortunately, there’s no stab in the back story here. — PolitiTweet.org
AdImpact Politics @AdImpact_Pol
#WIPol: Wisconsin's Senate general was the 5th most expensive general election of 2022. #WISen general ad spending… https://t.co/hVcT3pOmrg
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@emre_mayo Right — Fox News is one of the most important institutions in American politics and MSNBC doesn’t matter at all. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
And I think by 2024 there will be a nice story where US energy production 📈 and emissions 📉 with plenty of new domestic manufacturing etc etc etc to point to. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
If you start with the unrealistic expectation that voters will reward you for big change you’ll miss what an incredible success this is but it’s really hard to make policy changes this large without angering people and they pulled it off. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
It’s hard to right articles about things not happening but I think the most underrated aspect of the midterms is that with IRA Democrats managed to pass a genuinely significant partisan bill with zero backlash — that’s very unusual and speaks to smart design + good message. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
I dunno what will happen but my main view is that there is an underrated zone of policy disagreement in GOP circles (try again for welfare state rollback or accept reality? push for controversial abortion rules or moderate?) that’s more interesting than the personality conflict. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
What Fox is best at is just filling the channel with on-message stuff so the audience never needs to hear negative stories about Republicans or positive ones about Democrats. Actively injecting dissonant information into the discourse is much harder. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Right-wing media in the United States is an incredibly important force but it exists in a competitive landscape like any other media — Fox can’t force conservatives to watch content they find displeasing. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
Not to say it won’t work this time but the Murdoch Press *already* turned on Trump two years ago — what happened was Fox lost market share to Newsmax and OANN so they pivoted back. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MarcBodnick @ijbailey @davidshor I think the “wokeness” stuff was a big deal in 2020 but never thought it mattered in 2022 — people chilled out and the issue landscape moved on. — PolitiTweet.org
Matthew Yglesias @mattyglesias
@MarcBodnick @ijbailey @davidshor No my thesis was “Democrats should be talking about abortion” (which they did) and also “Democrats should moderate their substantive position on abortion” (which they didn’t). Their choice worked better than I would’ve thought. — PolitiTweet.org