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Showing page 79 of 309.
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @SteveKornacki: @ForecasterEnten Tickets that might have been Ronald Reagan-Richard Schweiker Ted Kennedy-Scoop Jackson/Lindy Boggs/Sh… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A poll result that is entirely consistent with either a slight decline in Biden's advantage or stabilization. Biden was +12 or +13 in the poll in late June, depending on the version you use. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden 51, Trump 41 per Monmouth https://t.co/0bzf64vPn5 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
"Ted Cruz names Carly Fiorina as VP pick"... Remember that? https://t.co/JITRJ2M6k5 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Look we all know Biden will pick someone for his vp. That someone has a name. That name has letters in it... That's a lot of info we already know. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @IChotiner: Texted my pal Nate Cohn to see if he had any top-secret polling data or fancy modeling to share with me, but instead found h… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Put another way, live interview polls suggest an electoral college (tipping pt state)/popular vote gap smaller than 2016 and potentially non-existent. The YouGov stuff suggests as large if not a larger electoral college/popular vote gap. https://t.co/hcmtohfwPh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Live interview polls over the last few months in the same states show the shift in the Great Lakes to be more than 2 points greater than in the Sunbelt. It really is a notable difference between what YouGov and the live interview polls suggest. https://t.co/hcmtohfwPh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
As @nate_cohn was pointing out, the CBS/YouGov polls really do show a uniform swing. All but AZ showed a shift of 7 points, +/- 1 pt. And zero gap between the Great Lake & Sunbelt states in terms of the average shift. https://t.co/hcmtohfwPh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
CBS News/YouGov has polled in the last month the 9 closest states Trump won. None of those states gave Biden a margin of greater than 6 points. Biden needs to win at least 1 (and probably 2-3). Their national poll during the same period had Biden +10. https://t.co/hcmtohfwPh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@FiveThirtyEight (Close races btw are ones in which the poll averages are within 10 points... which are the ones we care about.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm just gonna keep going back to this. 95% of the time the errors in state polling are gonna be as large as 9 points. This is based on @FiveThirtyEight poll averages dating to 1972. Most times the polls are good, but when they're off, they can be way off. https://t.co/g5bOQyocI1 https://t.co/iZHk6LDMoq — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, there's no real proof for the Shy Trump phenomenon. That said, if you were constructing a 95% confidence int… https://t.co/ESJpV20Isy — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
To my dear message app, When I write that some huckster is selling garbage... I don't mean his stuff is "horseshoe"… https://t.co/5rXxBLl1MQ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ComedyCellarUSA NOOOOOOOOOO — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Quite the evening... What are you watching? or doing? I'm eating a turkey sandwich with some diet A&W root beer... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There are few more upbeat songs than the theme to Perfect Strangers. It has been and will always be magnificent. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SenhorRaposa Anthony Weiner. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
On TV, not everything is as it appears to be... https://t.co/JJIAR4aOlh — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
TBH, this has been a surprising polling result all summer. It's not just that the polls put Cunningham up. They put him up by 5+... He's in a much better place than say Deborah Ross was in 2016 against Burr. — PolitiTweet.org
Stuart Rothenberg @StuPolitics
Tillis wants more debates. Complains that Cal Cunningham is slow to accept more debates. Who do you think is ahead?
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NateSilver538 So basically empty? (I kid, I kid.) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Agree with this... I can't really say if Biden is declining or it's just stable. I think the evidence across national/state polling is that things aren't getting worse for Trump. Beyond that, ???... And we'll see where we are in a few weeks. Biden still well ahead. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Cohn @Nate_Cohn
Let's talk about what's happening under the hood on some of the poll averages right now https://t.co/AH2LeCvzoL
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx NOOOOOOOOOOOO — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Jo Jorgensen is on more ballots than Kanye West and has at least the same amount of support he does in limited polling. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
FWIW, there isn't a whole lot of evidence to suggest Trump's doing worse among white born-again/evangelicals than he did against Clinton. Among all born-again/evangelicals, however, our last CNN poll did have Biden down only 16. The final poll in 2016 had Clinton down 25. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Those Q-Pac numbers in KY, ME and SC are, to put it mildly, good for Dems. Then again, Q-Pac also Biden by double-digits in FL... which later data didn't back up. So we'll see where we are. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Gosh, Irene Cara really did two grand slams... Here's one of them (the other one is obviously Fame) https://t.co/voLApNnBw5 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just realized I have 3 mock Gmail accounts so I can email people as their dogs to tell them to get the dogs hamburgers and chicken sandwiches. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
It's pretty clear to me that no matter how you slice it Trump's position isnt getting any worse & perhaps is getting slightly better than a month ago. He's still clearly behind, but the deficit is small enough with 89 days to go that he remains in the hunt https://t.co/6EOd3dx1dL — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Heck, it's not even a model. It's a bunch of subjective judgements. It's just trash. It could end up being right. (Most signs point that way.) But if it is... It's merely cause of luck, not because of anything grand. — PolitiTweet.org
