(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 7, 2020

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Sun Aug 09 22:10:52 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@FiveThirtyEight (Close races btw are ones in which the poll averages are within 10 points... which are the ones we care about.) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm just gonna keep going back to this. 95% of the time the errors in state polling are gonna be as large as 9 points. This is based on @FiveThirtyEight poll averages dating to 1972. Most times the polls are good, but when they're off, they can be way off. https://t.co/g5bOQyocI1 https://t.co/iZHk6LDMoq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

CBS News/YouGov has polled in the last month the 9 closest states Trump won. None of those states gave Biden a margin of greater than 6 points. Biden needs to win at least 1 (and probably 2-3). Their national poll during the same period had Biden +10. https://t.co/hcmtohfwPh — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 9, 2020