(((Harry Enten)))

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@DemFromCT As I note in the follow, stabler races = smaller bounces too... and this race has been... well, stable. It's a "big" deal when the polls move a point or 2. When historically, that's nothing movement. Quite something to see. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Some other reasons include... Bounces have simply gotten smaller more recently... Stabler races historically have featured the smallest bounces. And of course, the amount of news to be made in virtual conventions is probably smaller than normal. https://t.co/aSWKfYzRHR — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm betting on small convention bounces. Why? 1 reason: The most recent Fox News poll found that 63% of voters had a strongly favorable or unfavorable rating of Biden. 76% had one of Trump. Both historically high. Better known candidates = small bounces. https://t.co/aSWKfYzRHR https://t.co/243KQ6yPwm — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One thing that strikes me looking at who doesn't have broadband (i.e. those who are most reliant on the USPS) is how it cuts across traditional political divides. It's not a left-right thing. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

"Joe Biden is winning female voters by a historic margin" https://t.co/X1CT63ss4E — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@nymetrowx Any shot for snow with this system? — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I need more sleep. https://t.co/SBKm9LsY6s — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@KSoltisAnderson AWWWWWWWW — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Live interview polls this week... Fox News +7 Biden, Marist +11 Biden, Monmouth +10 Biden... Pretty clear picture there... A Biden advantage around or a less than 10 in the live interview polls. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

My name was not a popular one when I was born (ranking not even in the top 300), but now it doesn't even rank in the top 600. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I will be a on lobsterman in Maine by that point — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I see it is lefthanders day. That's nice. I write with my right hand, but I swing a baseball bat, play hockey, and play golf left-handed. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@islivingston We'll be lucky if we see an inch in NYC. I've given up :( — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Anyone else see what I see here? https://t.co/2yUcdprl25 Voters claim Harris made them more likely to vote for Biden, but the same polling showed that the horserace is unchanged. https://t.co/CZoeknW7By — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I think my favorite thing about VP picks and their influence on the outcome... Bentsen (D) destroyed Quayle (R) in their 1988 debate... Some polls actually seemed to move slightly towards Bush (R) in the days after. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@galendruke nice tie. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Harris as VP will probably make little difference in the 2020 outcome, but she's a historic selection (e.g. first Black woman VP pick), sets CA up to have a new senator, & makes Harris the frontrunner whenever Biden doesn't run next (2024 or 2028) https://t.co/E9vK5ajTq3 — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

You know how I know there are people with terrible opinions? Cause there are people who prefer summer to winter. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@DemFromCT @SeanTrende LOL. "The lowest averages for these three groups of graduates in the three academic years 2018-2019 were, in descending order 3.93, 3.83, 3.69." These averages have only gone up since I was there! https://t.co/MFonI1whBd — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@SeanTrende I think the difference between the top 5% and top 35% at my alma mater was 2/10ths of a point. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I can recall with great joy walking the 5 minutes up the hill and putting in a few quarters to get the Daily News & Post as a kid. It was the way to get the late sports... Alas, so much has changed. https://t.co/YFlMYtveMG — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I've spent weeks trying to get a friend to order his dog White Castle and photograph the occasion. Instead, he sends me photos of him passing White Castle just to taunt me. Seems harsh and unnecessary. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A thing that is so important to wrap our heads around... This year it's a big deal when the polls move a point or 2. In most years, that would be nothing movement. It just points to the historically stable race we're currently in. Whether that holds? Another story. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JayCostTWS They don't?! — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Well on our way to a Super Bowl ring... Oh wait. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'll more on this later, but I think it's a reasonable position to hold that Harris likely won't change the trajectory for 2020... while if the Dem ticket wins, the pick will have an outsized effect for 2021 and beyond. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

It was the Parks and Rec folks from Indiana and the Murder, She Wrote crew from Maine. I think it's obvious, Kyle. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I wasn't feeling physically great today... and took a quick nap... Woke up and the first thing I saw in a text was "Gina Raimondo"... Quickly, I realized someone was playing me. — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @aedwardslevy: Before the next wave of polls comes out...I just want again to urge caution about reading too much into any questions tha… — PolitiTweet.org

(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Marquette in Wisconsin with leaners and LV is +4 Biden... 50%-46% https://t.co/AE8Iegxm6i https://t.co/0jxV1piuqb — PolitiTweet.org