(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 12, 2020

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Sat Aug 15 14:14:56 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I'm betting on small convention bounces. Why? 1 reason: The most recent Fox News poll found that 63% of voters had a strongly favorable or unfavorable rating of Biden. 76% had one of Trump. Both historically high. Better known candidates = small bounces. https://t.co/aSWKfYzRHR https://t.co/243KQ6yPwm — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One thing that strikes me looking at who doesn't have broadband (i.e. those who are most reliant on the USPS) is how it cuts across traditional political divides. It's not a left-right thing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Some other reasons include... Bounces have simply gotten smaller more recently... Stabler races historically have featured the smallest bounces. And of course, the amount of news to be made in virtual conventions is probably smaller than normal. https://t.co/aSWKfYzRHR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 15, 2020