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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So when you sum it all up, you have Biden up by like 8 nationally with less than a month to go & nothing has rocked that lead as of yet. That advantage has been historically steady... and he's over 50%. He is the very clear favorite with no sign of that changing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Trump's covid diagnosis is an unknown, but we do know from limited data taken on Friday/Saturday that Biden's lead stayed steady or rose in polls like Ipsos and SurveyMonkey... (?/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We know Trump probably needed to "win" the first debate... We know now that he did not... To the extent that someone won the first debate, it was Biden in all the scientific polling... We know now that Biden's avg lead is up about 2 pts post-debate... (3/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We knew that Trump really wanted to close the gap between Biden & himself before that first debate because debate bounces are often (tho not always) fleeting... We know that didn't really happen, as Biden continued to lead by 7 to 8 pts before the first debate (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
So what do we know? We knew coming out of the conventions that Biden had a 7 or 8 point national lead... We knew that the difference between the polls 35 days out (i.e. before the first debate) and result has averaged just 4 pts since 1940... (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Hoosier114 :) He'd sit in the car and listen to tapes of the game... 60 years after it occurred. Talk about an event that sticks with you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
69 years ago, Bobby Thomson hit a homer off of Ralph Branca... I remember when that moment was only 50 years ago... Sorta weird how your parents tell you time flies, and you don't believe em. Granted, this year feels like it's taking forever. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NathanWurtzel I don't recognize that series as legitimate... except in 2015. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I have a senior citizen relative who just made it clear that she really doesn't understand what the Internet is... She might be the luckiest woman I know. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I just... I just... I mean where are the words? I search for them... and I'm just dumbstruck. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We have a month to go and there are plenty of developing news situations... but Biden has led Trump every day since 2017. No piece of data I've seen suggests anything over the last 84 hours changes that fact. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Wrote this in July. Three months later "Trump's handling of the coronavirus is the only election issue that matters" seems truer than ever... https://t.co/eXpWj6x4rp — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
4 years ago about this week, I was in Chicago. Saw a playoff game. Had a diet mug root beer. And went out dancing late night, which I never do. Honestly, two of the most enjoyable nights of my life. I never would have thought 4 years later we'd be here. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn The real polling fans don't need to set an alarm... They awake naturally. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just average the polls folks. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
OMG. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Let's wear masks, socially distance, and stay safe. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I totally forgot to use this during Tuesday night's debate... but fortunately it applies to the entire year at-large... https://t.co/Wc13nfjjVV — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Most people think Trump's going to win, despite the polls. So this strikes me as not holding a lot of water. https://t.co/1jsgkRb8YA https://t.co/J6PPKfi6Me — PolitiTweet.org
Solomon Messing @SolomonMg
In 2020, 100 million eligible voters stayed home, some of whom did so because of the widespread consensus that a Hi… https://t.co/OnmPornqrC
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
And this is what is so bizarre about this. You have folks dismissing loads of data clearly suggesting something. The data is screaming out to be listened to. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
We are about to enter October 2020... and the last time Joe Biden trailed Donald Trump was... never. Biden has led in an average of polls dating back since the first poll of this matchup for 2020 was taken in early 2017. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PollsterPatrick LOL. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here was also a pod i recently appeared on https://t.co/GmcDqcK4oc — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
if you like me in videos, click on this. If you just like me, click on it. If you don't like me, IDK why you follow. You just a glutton for punishment?https://t.co/LmzjCnZtnO — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There have been at least 4 scientific post-debate polls I have seen. Every single one found that voters (or voters who watched the debate) thought Biden won the debate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Someone: "Trump's speaking to working class folk" Polls: "Well actually, he's doing considerably worse among that group than in the pre-election polls showed 4 years ago." — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I find it hilarious that some "outlets" still pass around non-scientific vote as many times as you want online polls as something scientific. Are you KIDDING ME? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Morning after and it's still stunning... and there still isn't a piece of data out there suggesting what occurred last night helped Trump at all. And remember, he was losing by 7 going in... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, Joe Biden has never trailed in this race. Based upon these insta-polls, he will continue to lead this race. Every day Trump doesn't gain is a bad day for him. There is zippo sign he's gaining after this debate. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
What the heck was that. — PolitiTweet.org
