(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 31, 2020

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Sun Oct 04 13:46:20 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We knew that Trump really wanted to close the gap between Biden & himself before that first debate because debate bounces are often (tho not always) fleeting... We know that didn't really happen, as Biden continued to lead by 7 to 8 pts before the first debate (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So what do we know? We knew coming out of the conventions that Biden had a 7 or 8 point national lead... We knew that the difference between the polls 35 days out (i.e. before the first debate) and result has averaged just 4 pts since 1940... (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

We know Trump probably needed to "win" the first debate... We know now that he did not... To the extent that someone won the first debate, it was Biden in all the scientific polling... We know now that Biden's avg lead is up about 2 pts post-debate... (3/?) — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Oct. 4, 2020