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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
My Mother, a doctor, just got her covid vaccine. She compared the moment to when she got the Salk polio vaccine in the mid-1950s. Unlike that vaccine, she said she understood the gravity of the moment this time. Side note: it was her birthday today. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I like watching the YouTube videos where the lions think they have the bison, but then the bison's friends come and help to save said bison. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Bills have gone on national tv the last 4 weeks... and have won each game by double digits. The last two by 29 points. Beautiful. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Go Bills! — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
A certain person has stopped responding to my texts asking for photos of his 3 dogs, and it has made me very sad. Perhaps some of you can help me fill the void? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Looking at how long it took for GA results to come in during Nov. and realizing that while we have what are probably good benchmarks... It's likely going to be a while before the runoff vote counts are reflective of what the eventual result is. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Until shown otherwise, Trump is the 2024 GOP frontrunner. There have few losing prez incumbents in the polling era, but Trump's polling significantly better than all of them at this pt. (Yes, it's extremely early, so view this as a first check-in.) https://t.co/0x9QRYVNhJ — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I stayed a minute too long on Fox after the Cowboy/Eagle game... and now there is apparently a Masked Dancer?.. WUT? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I'm gonna continue to push what I call the "true margin of error" idea. Essentially, rely less on reported margin of error & more on the simple question "how accurate has polling been?" That concept seems to be graspable by public-at-large https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten The state polling fwiw was definitely worse than 2016. It was nearly as bad as it was in 1980, which is the worst year for state polling that we have on record. The national polling was as accurate as the average since 1936. https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Some thoughts on polling post-2020 election. Yes, I'm still going to use it (duh!). It's possible we're entering a new era of polling accuracy being more like the 1930s to the 1950s, which were not banner times. Requires modesty in reporting. https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just cooked myself some hot dogs. What are you up to on this 10th anniversary of one of the greatest snowstorms in NYC history? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten More people think Trump helped than hurt the economy than believe Obama did at the end of his presidency... and more think Trump helped the economy than believe Biden will during his presidency. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Donald Trump actually won the economic argument, but became the first president in the polling era to lose re-election despite have a positive net approval rating on the economy. It turns out elections aren't just "about the economy, stupid." https://t.co/tWddJLQ9td — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Man Reddi Wip is some good stuff. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Still one of my favorite articles I wrote were on the prowess of the Columbia Lions in 2017. https://t.co/PHkC30Nt6b — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten Uh folks... The Columbia Lions also play in NY... Well not this year, but you get the point. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The only Christmas gift that I needed to buy was for a little shih tzu. She roots for the best football team in New York! CC @BuffaloBills #BillsMafia https://t.co/cBOzDE33GD — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Rain has turned to Snow in Buffalo where, if I'm doing my math correctly, 13 to 25 inches is expected through Saturday evening. What a city... Lots of snow and great football. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@POLITICO_Steve Bingo. The funniest is Manhattan got just 5. My Mom went out to dinner down there, and I had to explain that it was far worse up in the Bronx. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten As a snowhound, the best feeling is when the forecast is for 5, and u have 5 and 5 hours to go until the storm is done. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I brought a beanbag chair and sat in it outside... And down came the snow... We ended up, iirc, in something called the "comma head." Ended up with 10 or 11 inches. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten At around 11 am, my Father went out to get us bagels... By the time, he got back the rain had changed to sleet... By 1 (iirc) it had gone over to snow significantly earlier than forecasted. (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The only White (or Snowy) Christmas I remember was in 2002. It snowed lightly in overnight. Changed to rain in the early morning. It was supposed change back to snow... Forecast was for 2-5 inches? (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Chances are that both GA Senate races will go the same way, but if both races are decided by less than a point... That might not be true. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just plotted out my NYE plans... 1. Go to bed at 10pm. 2. Wake up next morning. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Who the heck wants warmth on Christmas Eve? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I feel like you could learn about someone by just knowing whether they see "11%" on a battery and say "oh got a long way to go" or "OMG I need a plug immediately!!!" — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I guess one of the bigger unknowns to me (as brought up by a friend) is what affect Christmas/New Years has on this. My answer: IDK. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@ForecasterEnten I think there are plenty of way this could go, but if Dems worried about a turnout dropoff... So far it's not showing up. And the polling is as tight as it could be. — PolitiTweet.org
