(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 24, 2021

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Sun Dec 27 16:25:49 +0000 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ForecasterEnten The state polling fwiw was definitely worse than 2016. It was nearly as bad as it was in 1980, which is the worst year for state polling that we have on record. The national polling was as accurate as the average since 1936. https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Some thoughts on polling post-2020 election. Yes, I'm still going to use it (duh!). It's possible we're entering a new era of polling accuracy being more like the 1930s to the 1950s, which were not banner times. Requires modesty in reporting. https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2020

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ForecasterEnten I'm gonna continue to push what I call the "true margin of error" idea. Essentially, rely less on reported margin of error & more on the simple question "how accurate has polling been?" That concept seems to be graspable by public-at-large https://t.co/7VWprBa5kR — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 27, 2020