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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Correct. — PolitiTweet.org

Nate Silver @NateSilver538

H https://t.co/iaKnEAbnz1

Posted May 25, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

One of the great scenes in Seinfeld history https://t.co/0Erp0rduzO — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 25, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@aedwardslevy TBH, my takeaway from that headline was not what they intended. It was like "we found the way that Trump can win with a 42% approval rating." — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This poll has a neat question that illustrates why I am skeptical of the idea that you can add up folks to find a sort of anti-Biden bloc. https://t.co/Xtq9sJXvxB https://t.co/JWITRJcMB0 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn We're listening... Well I am. Go on. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@PollsAndVotes I thought your logits the other day were pretty convincing. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

In poll results that you won't see the President tweeting out, Rasmussen has Warren beating him by 2. https://t.co/2bXK5cTjGx — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

However, we do know for example that primary polling at this point (which is only measuring currently preferences) has historically been correlated with the eventual result. It's rather silly in my mind not to acknowledge that. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Can I explain why I'm not enamored with this piece? It's because it suggests a mode of thinking I think is improper: binary. Yes or no. We obviously don't know with 100% certainly what will happen or anything close. So in that sense we "don't know". (1/2) https://t.co/UxeRKVnTOp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 24, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@kyletblaine Hi Kyle. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Weird day. How you doing? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

He's busy ignoring my slacks. — PolitiTweet.org

David Wright @DavidWright_CNN

.@kyletblaine is unconcerned https://t.co/3tddK02paJ

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

My bottom line... based on the data available at this point... I have no reason to really think the early states as a whole appreciably differ from the national polling. Could that change? Of course. Maybe it's changing right now. I just don't think we can reasonably claim it is — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2. To the point of a small sample size, Morning Consult has been tracking IA/NH/NV/SC... They actually have Biden stronger in the early states than nationally. https://t.co/iulj4FMvrf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Got thoughts on early state crosstab: 1. We have actually polling from the early states, not a crosstab (that I'm glad is available) off a 334 voter sample with I'd guess a big MOE. Biden is about as strong in IA as nationally. Weaker in NH. Stronger in SC https://t.co/kP3donwKEj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Warren has got of a bit of a Buttigieg thing going on here. Her support is concentrated in the college-educated and very liberal groups. (Also among whites in this poll.) Perfect recipe for media potentially overestimating her support. https://t.co/aEWhfQN9nf — PolitiTweet.org

Steve Kornacki @SteveKornacki

Also Warren's strength coming heavily from one side of the college/non-college divide: No college degree Biden 35%… https://t.co/zsp0BZ6TPb

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Monmouth has Biden 33%, Sanders 15%, Harris 11%, Warren 10%. https://t.co/kP3donwKEj I think there are some trends attached... Biden is up pre-launch, but down from immediate post launch. Warren is up but not much in last few weeks. Sanders has stabilized for now. Harris steady. https://t.co/flC9Hn8MWU — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

https://t.co/4tBKxiJmqk https://t.co/qXy4LKmEdh — PolitiTweet.org

Brian Brettschneider @Climatologist49

31 days until we start losing daylight. #DailyInspiration

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@MonmouthPoll One time Patrick should throw his face in there just to mix it up. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

DST still stinks. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@stevesingiser If Dems can't win KY this year... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@EsotericCD Whatever floats your boat, buddy :). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I screw up plenty, but sometimes... https://t.co/Zp95nl4bZW — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Redistrict LOL. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Early days yet, but the strong opposition to Trump's re-elect remains historically high. https://t.co/J7mEhGQjZ6 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Big Ben Carson fans. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

So I was having a conversation with a few folks, and I think Mark gets the biggest problem in Australia right here. The average was fine (as I emphasized on Monday). The issue was seeming herding. https://t.co/m2UVVC4Btq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ChrisStirewalt @SeanTrende @justkarl I have not and now I wanna. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@ChrisStirewalt @SeanTrende @justkarl Baaaaaaaaaaaad. Also, I'm watching sheep and goat videos. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 22, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Unless Sanders rallies over the next month, he's gonna poll on average less than 20% nationally over the first course of the year. The primary record of those who poll that low and have high name id ain't good. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 21, 2019 Hibernated