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(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 17, 2020

Created

Thu May 23 16:42:44 +0000 2019

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

2. To the point of a small sample size, Morning Consult has been tracking IA/NH/NV/SC... They actually have Biden stronger in the early states than nationally. https://t.co/iulj4FMvrf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Got thoughts on early state crosstab: 1. We have actually polling from the early states, not a crosstab (that I'm glad is available) off a 334 voter sample with I'd guess a big MOE. Biden is about as strong in IA as nationally. Weaker in NH. Stronger in SC https://t.co/kP3donwKEj — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

My bottom line... based on the data available at this point... I have no reason to really think the early states as a whole appreciably differ from the national polling. Could that change? Of course. Maybe it's changing right now. I just don't think we can reasonably claim it is — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 23, 2019 Hibernated

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