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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

June 18, 2007 "Obama holds a strong lead... in South Carolina, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll... Obama leads by 9 points, 34 percent to 25 percent... Obama holds a significant lead, 41 percent to 18 percent, over Clinton among black voters" https://t.co/ivliAnKvAi — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Things I think are true. 1. Biden is down from post-announcement. But prob in slight better shape than pre-announcement. 2. Sanders dropped from March to April, but is in no worse shape now than April. 3. Warren is clearly up from March. Less clear if up since May... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@JoeLenski @amyewalter @postandcourier True. But I was even looking back to 04... it wasn't close to a majority white turnout. Less black than last time? Sure. Majority white? Unlikely. Also their last poll had majority black as % of electorate. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

This is a strong poll for Warren... Granted, I think having a comparison with actual vote choice is important... https://t.co/Mos9DWlzLa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter @postandcourier Concur. Also YouGov shows him up ~30 and Warren not really doing much there... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

YouGov dropping some numbers... Lots here. Mostly fine for Biden imho. (Small leads in mostly white IA/NH). And while the IA #s are not great for Warren, the NH one is one of her best yet and overall fine. Fun delegate thing they do too. https://t.co/NBGD3gEeEf — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter @postandcourier Maybe right. But that suggests a turnout very different than prior SC Dem primaries. SC BoE records race of voters... and that doesn't look normal. Also fact that more have a college degree than the exits? Again, not saying it's wrong. Just raises a flag. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Factors this year that make IA/NH even more pivotal to knocking off Biden: they have high numbers of liberals and few nonwhite voters. If Biden can win in inhospitable places, he'll only do better once the campaign goes national. https://t.co/EjGUm0fW2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

When a national poll frontrunner wins IA or NH, they've won 11 of 13 nominations since 72 in competitive primaries. When they lost both, they're 1 of 5. Put another way, Biden will probably win the nom if he wins either. Loses both, he prob won't be. https://t.co/EjGUm0fW2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Come for the horrible Don Pardo impression, stay for some reason. This is about Warren and her seeming upward trajectory in some polling. https://t.co/IVo6xZkXDT — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Hope everyone has a great weekend!!! Have any fun plans?! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@kyletblaine Oy. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

I follow only animal Instagram accounts. it's the best. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A majority of public political polls are done online... and the once that are live interview almost always call cell phones. The fact that I have to tweet this is sad. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Average of national polls for Warren in April: 6. Average in May: 9. Average in last two weeks: 11.5... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Neil_Paine @FiveThirtyEight YAY!!!!!!! — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@EsotericCD Bye. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 14, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Hampton Jitney keeps giving me ads on YouTube. I have been to the Hamptons once in my life. I was there for exactly one day. It was over a decade ago. Where are the ads for Popeyes? — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

For those keeping tracking at home, Bullock missed the debate by 1 respondent. Bennet made the debate because people who didn't know his name offered him as a response anyway... #america — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@Nate_Cohn So close... yet so far. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

YES! — PolitiTweet.org

amy walter @amyewalter

Exactly. There is big upside and potential for a Dem who runs as an ‘electable progressive ‘. https://t.co/ikVv3hjJyP

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Someone check in on @johnberman... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 13, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@pescami a state of mind, perhaps. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Is there a single state in the nation where de Blasio has a positive net favorable rating with Democrats? I don't think so... — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A true friend: one who sends you dog pics and is willing to get you Carvel on their way to work. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

From Howard Schultz... https://t.co/mTxsYYSo12 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Some will know what this is in reference to. https://t.co/mSFRq18oTa — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @SteveKornacki: Bullock remains one poll short of hitting the threshold to make the debate stage. Unless there is a DNC-approved poll th… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Retweet Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

A rare Nevada poll from Monmouth: Biden 36, Warren (!) 19, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 7, Harris 6. https://t.co/KBac3ZF0pr — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Hibernated
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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

RT @aedwardslevy: A) He describes these as "landline-based polls," which pretty much no major media outlet is doing anymore. B) Younger vo… — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 12, 2019 Retweet Hibernated