(((Harry Enten)))

@ForecasterEnten ↗

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Last Checked Nov. 1, 2020

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Sat Jun 15 17:14:29 +0000 2019

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

Factors this year that make IA/NH even more pivotal to knocking off Biden: they have high numbers of liberals and few nonwhite voters. If Biden can win in inhospitable places, he'll only do better once the campaign goes national. https://t.co/EjGUm0fW2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

When a national poll frontrunner wins IA or NH, they've won 11 of 13 nominations since 72 in competitive primaries. When they lost both, they're 1 of 5. Put another way, Biden will probably win the nom if he wins either. Loses both, he prob won't be. https://t.co/EjGUm0fW2F — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 15, 2019 Hibernated

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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten

@amyewalter @postandcourier Maybe right. But that suggests a turnout very different than prior SC Dem primaries. SC BoE records race of voters... and that doesn't look normal. Also fact that more have a college degree than the exits? Again, not saying it's wrong. Just raises a flag. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted June 16, 2019 Hibernated