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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, you gotta have water pressure. The building I live in now has great water pressure. The best. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Biden and Sanders have got to be loving this Buttigieg-Warren tussle. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@Nate_Cohn Funny enough, I'm writing something on this today. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@stevekornacki said it before... but Buttigieg reminds me more of Tsongas every day. Don't know if the final outcome will be the same, however. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Twitter is a weird place. Speaking of which, name for me your favorite breed of dog and accompany said opinion with a photo of said breed. Thank you. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Choose your own adventure! https://t.co/UMMUt045sK — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here's a stat... Among potential Dem primary voters, moderates and liberals are about equal... Among potential Dem primary voters who are Twitter users & use political hashtags, liberals outnumber moderates by a 2:1 margin... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports When someone gets the current Dem gov, gimme a call. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Sometimes good candidates lose and bad candidates win. Politics is often about timing/luck, as much as it is about skill. Sure more skilled candidates get luckier, but it's not the clearest correlation. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Another thing: There is a small black population in Iowa, but it's large enough for the entrance poll to capture it. Obama won that vote 72-16. So again, while it's clear that his Iowa win helped Obama with black voters, he was already doing quite well with them before hand. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
In South Carolina for example, Obama led among black voters in mid December 07 by 25 points (https://t.co/raYF6qrt70). He had over 50% support. (2/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I may sound like a broken record, but of the following is true... black voters moved more toward Obama after he won Iowa in 08... but started out with a significantly higher base of black support than Booker or Harris... (1/?) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@NoahCRothman @SeanTrende Nope. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This right here is something we saw in 2016 to a lesser degree. Trump was getting no endorsements, but most folks weren't getting many. Biden's the only one putting real points on the board this time, but even he is doing meh in terms of endorsements. — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
Yeah, but she also had ~4% of the total possible endorsement points. And Biden only has 6 or 7%. (Also, Harris had… https://t.co/Id2jPnMTki
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini Well the latter is entirely true. I was referring to the first part. I felt the same thing happened in NYC after Dinkins already had won. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PatrickRuffini I think there's something to this. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @merica: In the end, Kamala Harris fell as quickly as she rose. How Harris' campaign - beset by months of disjointed messaging, content… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @Nolan_Mc: Everything I know about politics I learned from the marathon. The smart runners drop out at soon as they realize it’s not th… — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Average of our last two national polls among black voters... Biden had 49%. Harris had 6%. Among blacks 45+ (who are the vast majority of black voters in SC), Biden had 62%. Harris had 4%. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@PollsterPatrick That's being tracked to a degree by Boris Shor. https://t.co/SU00z4nEOC — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I don't know anyone who thought Harris would be dropping out & Biden would be at 50% with black voters in December, after that debate moment in late June... but here we are. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Harris had a slew of endorsements from CA... Also, she was the only candidate besides Biden to pick up a number of CBC endorsements. Be interesting to see where those go. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Just wow. Just wow. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I believe that's Biden's worst MC poll since his launch by a point. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Me looking at the radar... https://t.co/qibG4YdQX8 — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx It's snowing quite well here. UWS. There's no mix. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@nymetrowx Snowing pretty good on the UWS right now... Certainly not heavy or anything... but a good start with accumulation on the cars etc. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Starting to snow in the city now... Expecting that to pick up big league in the afternoon and into the early evening... — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston AWWWWWWWWWWWWWW — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende Impressive near win, but alas for him. — PolitiTweet.org
