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(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
At the beginning of the decade, I sounded like an 80 year-old Jewish man trying to send soup back at a deli. Today, I sound like an 80 year-old Jewish man trying to send soup back at a deli. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Easier to get an Iowa poll in December than for the NFL to review whether or not there was a pass interference. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@RalstonReports Who'd u think it was? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm not sure folks know how hard this is to model. Nate's not kidding when he says he's spent a lot of time on this. V. interested to see what he churns out — PolitiTweet.org
Nate Silver @NateSilver538
A contested Democratic convention is a distinct possibility, but after spending a crazy number of hours working on… https://t.co/9mufQJDI2S
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
This dog is one of the cutest beings I've seen in a long while. He or she just wants to love and be loved. I'd consider it a great honor to be a friend of this dog. — PolitiTweet.org
aleashuhh @aleashuhh
There is a nice man on Instagram that has a herd of rescued senior dogs and I am of course a huge fan but This One… https://t.co/GOxwfq75ad
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@islivingston More of this, less of your heat talk. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@amyewalter I've featured this graphic over & over again on air... including last night. Our polling shows the exact same thing. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
One other thing to realize is that given the volatility of the IA electorate, the lead any candidate had now could easily go poof by the time of the caucuses anyway. Primary polling is TOUGH. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
There hasn't been a live-interview/cell calling poll in IA in 1.5 months. So the averages are reliant on a few polls that don't do this / plenty of older data. Or in the 538 case, getting an assist from national trends... Both methods show similar pictures. 2/? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Generally what the best guesstimate in Iowa tells us now is that Buttigieg, Biden & Sanders right at around 20% (give or take). Warren is closer to 15%. But much of that belief comes from assumptions/polling that may not hold... 1/? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Unlike some folks, I actually have cut back on Twitter to concentrate on studying/producing output. So when I said there were few Iowa polls, I showed & explain why at 650 AM & 930 PM on tv + in writing today https://t.co/lXN5WfmJM2 https://t.co/jmz218nKaK https://t.co/X60QtRdkfW — PolitiTweet.org
Cuomo Prime Time @CuomoPrimeTime
Top tier 2020 Democratic candidates are vying for the top spot in Iowa caucuses. CNN's Harry Enten joins… https://t.co/BjHJmIUgpL
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Few things get me more upset than when YouTube videos claim to contain the end theme to Night Court, but really it's just the final scene of an episode and a little jingle. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'm writing on this, but there have been fewer Iowa polls at this point in any caucus season since 2000. https://t.co/An17A2th1J We don't know what the heck is going on. — PolitiTweet.org
Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs
Pollsters are probably waiting for 2020 before releasing new polls. Last survey released in each early state (+fiel… https://t.co/flR8akzcJA
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@richardmskinner Yes. 72 vs. 76 is particularly nuts. McGovern lost MS by 59. Carter won it by 2. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
If you look at the average (and I emphasize AVERAGE) poll in swing states or nationally, Biden consistently does ~2-4 pts better than Sanders and Warren. I have no clue if it holds, but people aren't making this electability argument out of thin air. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
RT @NewDay: Merry Christmas only to Harry Enten's sweater https://t.co/FBTrn8Ib9F — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Here's a take: Little Women > Uncut Gems. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@kyletblaine I will file a piece tmrw. Does that count? — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@jhomenuk @RyanBretonWX I still have a Blackberry. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Gotta get in the workouts when you can... — PolitiTweet.org
Cristina Alesci @CristinaAlesci
Thank you @ForecasterEnten for making it fun to work on #ChristmasEve #happyhanukkah https://t.co/wbktcts9d2
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
How Bowfinger didn't make 100s of millions of dollars is beyond me. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@KSoltisAnderson @SteveKornacki I'm not Steve, but 33 EVs in NY and 32 in TX says yes. — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
I'd have to think of this is someone is feeling electoral pressure. https://t.co/DpyTPiKvjG https://t.co/CLkh8M55Tr — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Hanuqa. A holiday so great that it can be spelled at least 900 ways... Give or take. Shalom everyone. Hopefully Channukkah Harry brings my fellow members great joy :). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
@SeanTrende @amyewalter No cursing on this platform. TY :) — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
The fact that this dog is still alive gives me great joy and hope. https://t.co/mrHmgMPBcA — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Written some real whoppers, but 10 months later this holds up well. The polling clearly showed a clear path to Biden winning the nomination. He obviously hasn't done so yet, but that path is as wide as it's been in a while. Lesson: polls are good. https://t.co/uvOzPsGcSb — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Turnout, IDK. But here's a nugget... There's a little north than 10% of voters in our CNN poll who dislike Biden & Trump. They go for Biden 72% to 9%. This group is overwhelmingly young (69% is under 50 vs. 49% of all voters). — PolitiTweet.org
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Not surprising that Zach got this right. — PolitiTweet.org
Zach Montellaro @ZachMontellaro
NEW: The DNC announced the new thresholds for the January debate. Candidates need four polls at 5 percent (or 7 per… https://t.co/1uTzObD2Qq
(((Harry Enten))) @ForecasterEnten
Folks, it's about when the poll is released, not when it's conducted. — PolitiTweet.org