Richard Spencer

@RichardBSpencer ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 18, 2020

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Mon Aug 03 07:01:54 +0000 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

A base line for the Democrats’ expectations should be 46 to 47 seats—in other words, the status quo. The Republicans could reasonably hope to maintain their 16 "safe" seats; however, they should expect to lose three to four (that is, half of the toss-ups). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

Toss-ups can be treated as toss-ups: each party is given a 50 percent chance of holding the state. And we’ll assume that each party maintains its solid seats (inertia being the strongest force in Congress). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

If the Republicans lose three seats, they could—assuming an Alabama win—still maintain control of the Senate by the slimmest of margins. Losing five of the seven tossup states would almost certainly mean the Democrats taking control. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020