Richard Spencer

@RichardBSpencer ↗

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Last Checked Aug. 18, 2020

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Mon Aug 03 07:01:53 +0000 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

Toss-ups can be treated as toss-ups: each party is given a 50 percent chance of holding the state. And we’ll assume that each party maintains its solid seats (inertia being the strongest force in Congress). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

This reality allows us to make a “back of the envelope” forecast, based simply on polling and removing geography, personalities, and endorsements from the equation. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020

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Richard Spencer @RichardBSpencer

A base line for the Democrats’ expectations should be 46 to 47 seats—in other words, the status quo. The Republicans could reasonably hope to maintain their 16 "safe" seats; however, they should expect to lose three to four (that is, half of the toss-ups). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Aug. 3, 2020