Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Jan. 12, 2023

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Thu Dec 29 14:37:12 +0000 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Wood's error is called *modus (ponendo) ponens*, affirming the consequent. "If P, then Q. Q, therefore P". See #FooledbyRandomness. Also gives insight on via negativa, which works: "If P then Q. NonQ, therefore NonP" is valid, *modus (tollendo) tollens*. BTW Latin is beautiful. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

LOGICAL ERROR DU JOUR That some successful companies were initially "profitless" does not mean that profitless will become successful. That every basketball player is tall does not mean that every tall person is a basketball player. — PolitiTweet.org

The world today appears to be run by the "profitless tech" companies of the past. ARK invests in companies that we… https://t.co/SjQ8lngfmu

Posted Dec. 29, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BngtB @dan_azzi @RMTTTTTT Imbecile, "is growing" is not "will grow" as you forget the existence of 23 competiting models hitting the market and discount rate is >4%. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Dec. 29, 2022