Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
2) In another paper, in same Intern Journ of For, we explain why single point forecasts don't work in fat tailed domains (& not so well in thin tailed ones). @PTetlock can't get fat tails as he still can't get the difference betw probability & expectation https://t.co/g18iVWxmTp — PolitiTweet.org
HiddenInACoalField ® @ReaperInTheRye
@tell_me_muse @Dominic2306 @russianforces @PTetlock @nntaleb This paper by the aforementioned @nntaleb and also… https://t.co/wYnVTtUAvP
