Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked June 4, 2022

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Sun May 15 10:55:29 +0000 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Don't give Monte Carlo a bad name Platias & Di Maggio, econ & "crypto" specialists, gave TERRA$ no chance of collapsing from the peg simulating "1 mil. y". 1-MC works, BUT ONLY if you are using correct assumptions (tails & feedback loops) 2-No diff betw 1 mil & 1 bil years IYIs — PolitiTweet.org

A Talebian play in two acts. https://t.co/gM212V1NGA

Posted May 15, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@financequant @shakeel We have no idea when these took place as these palatisations are frequent. The palatisation [k] -> [tʃ], [ts],"tch" is common. In Bagdad, kalb is pronounced "tshalb". In oth. dialects "sh" becomes "zh", prosciuto becomes prozhut; likewise in the UAE "shariKa" is pron "Sharja". — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 15, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) Turns out Di Maggio @ProfDiMaggio and Platias are irresponsible & must be sued for incompetence & causing pple to rely on their models. We've known for 35 y to NEVER simulate Geo Brow Motion without stochasticizing vol to simulate tails. See my Dynamic Hedging (1997), preLTCM! https://t.co/XKbNl1X5S5 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted May 15, 2022