Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Feb. 1, 2022

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Fri Jan 21 12:21:59 +0000 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

2) The story: "If you run marathons you do better than a couch potato but worse than a moderately fit person". No. Compare those who run marathons to couch potatoes w/the genetics that make them capable of running marathons BUT are couch potatoes. Science/Statistics is hard. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

When I am trolled by >1000 pple for a thread, someone is PAYING to hide something (NFL ?). It isn't just that professional athletes have > mortality than amateurs: they do worse than couch potatoes. Studies s.a. below fail to condition on genetics; miss the survivorship bias. https://t.co/qTZ3016ebA — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2022

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

3) MIS-COMPARISON TO ANCIENT GREECE Athletes today are overoptimized animals with crippled life expectancy. They must be in the tails of 100 Million pple for that skill. In ancient Greece, athletes were to be in the tails of 10K people, could not be overoptimized. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 21, 2022