Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

I made a bet that EVERTHING in psychology is BS except if #Lindy (found in ancients). @justinowings asked abt the "What you see is all there is". Hundreds on "We are fooled by appearances". Theognis of Megara: πολλάκι γὰρ γνώμην ἐξαπατῶσ' ἰδέαι. — PolitiTweet.org

Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

EVIDENCE BASED MEDICINE The R^2 indicates how much an INDIVIDUAL patient is likely to resemble the abstract AGGREGATE in the results of the study. Caveat: 1- It's nonlinear 2- Variables must be thin-tailed but relation linear https://t.co/3mKF5tnIVf PS - @Snowden is a fraud. — PolitiTweet.org