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Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 10, 2021

Created

Tue Sep 21 11:25:21 +0000 2021

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16

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1

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Spfannenschmidt @AdamMGrant See the lectures, I think #9. https://t.co/uaCk3w3M7y — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Spfannenschmidt @AdamMGrant Susan, small effects matter when there is no noise. Think about the Law of Large numbers: it ONLY applies to a single individuals in the absence of noise. In this case we is not talking about small effects but R^2. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@Spfannenschmidt @AdamMGrant A low R^2 has additional problems: a certain probability of model error (as you play with variables, R^2 rises because it is convex, nonnegative). — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 21, 2021

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