Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Oct. 1, 2021

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Mon Sep 13 13:24:28 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@RichmanRonald @Sharpe_Actuary @MFergal @MarcosCarreira For tomorrow: please note this paper building on Chapter 12 in using option arbitrage for election pricing. Also there are comments by that fraud @Ptetlock on the paper: effectively how to NOT understand arbitrage bounds and relationships. https://t.co/LV8NYMxXzp — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 13, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

CORRECTION. It is not .03 but .003. Yes, an R^2 of .003. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 13, 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

My note: there are errors in social science, but nothing of this scale. https://t.co/r5mlHScnOq — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Sept. 13, 2021