Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb
Blind wine tasting in NY: was asked to guess the country of origin. "Tastes Lebanese". Confidence? "99%". What guess did I write? California. Why? There are >1000 time more Cal than Leb wines in NY. Likewise, incompetence is more frequent than evil, so first assume stupidity. — PolitiTweet.org
Beyon Miloyan @bmiloy
@nntaleb Professore, why ought we to treat this moral problem as an epistemic one?
