Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Wed Feb 10 16:32:40 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@JamesMarsh79 @DaniNazza yes, particularly another class of risks — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@dschan02 Not exact. Covid patient feels better on day 10 than day 8 but CRP and D-Dimer are worse that day. Meaning? rise in CRP corresponds to earlier worsening, improvement will also lag. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Feb. 10, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Let me make it more formal: Over 2 periods, a lagging marker can have a variation Δ w/an opposite sign to that of the patient's condition (say degrades while patient improves). A leading marker can have an unfavorable variation Δ while patient is same. https://t.co/xpDTFh2Vla — PolitiTweet.org

@dschan02 Not exact. Covid patient feels better on day 10 than day 8 but CRP and D-Dimer are worse that day. Meanin… https://t.co/8VIjs3yglJ

Posted Feb. 10, 2021 Hibernated