Nassim Nicholas Taleb

@nntaleb ↗

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Last Checked Sept. 15, 2021

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Sun Jan 03 19:48:23 +0000 2021

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

Updated the post. Basically, fortune cookies science makes the error of missing nonlinearities under aggregation (Jensen's inequality). A ratio of averages is not an average of ratios. See #Antifragile for more errors of reasoning in medicine. https://t.co/OU1c6Q1hi8 — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@BertZwart1 Yes product distributions are easy, ratio distributions are not. But this is a contraption here because E(X Y) would then be the problem. — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 2, 2021 Hibernated

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Nassim Nicholas Taleb @nntaleb

@DIAS This is called East-Med — PolitiTweet.org

Posted Jan. 3, 2021 Hibernated